| Peer-Reviewed

Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets

Received: 22 January 2022    Accepted: 21 February 2022    Published: 15 March 2022
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

This research examines the relationship between political risk and the volume of FDI activity and ownership strategy of foreign firms in Africa. Our study employs panel regression models to examine 2,360 FDIs into four low political risk and five high political risk African countries during the period 2010-2017. This data represents FDIs from the top 10 countries with the most investments in Africa (UNCTAD, 2018). We find that there is a progressive increase in the volume of FDI activity by multinationals in high political risk countries, even though low political risk countries remain the preferred FDI destinations. We also find that joint venture (JV) is the preferred ownership strategy by foreign multinationals in high political risk African countries. The preferred ownership strategy in this research helps firms mitigate potential hostile government policies such as expropriations. This research contributes both theoretically and empirically to enrich the political economy and international business literature.

Published in International Journal of Business and Economics Research (Volume 11, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11
Page(s) 54-64
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Political Risk, FDI, Ownership Strategy, Africa, Entry Strategy

References
[1] R. C. Shrader, B. M. Oviatt, and P. P. McDougall, “How new ventures exploit trade-offs among international risk factors: Lessons for the accelerated internationalization of the 21st century,” Acad. Manag. J., vol. 43, no. 6, pp. 1227–1247, 2000.
[2] D. L. Howell, “Evaluating political risk forecasting models: what works?,” THUNDERBIRD Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 56, no. 4, pp. 305–316, 2014.
[3] K. D. Brouthers, K. E. Brouthers, and S. Werner, “Resource-based advantages in an international context?,” J. Manage., vol. 34, pp. 189–217, 2008.
[4] A. M. Rugman and J. Li, “Will China’s multinationals succeed globally or regionally?,” Eur. Manag. J., vol. 25, pp. 333–343, 2007.
[5] K. Baek and X. Qian, “An analysis on political risks and the flow of foreign direct investment in developing and industralised economies,” Econ. Manag. Financ. Mark., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 60–91, 2011.
[6] A. Jimenez, I. Luis-Rico, and D. Benito-Osorio, “The influence of political risk on the scope of internationalization of regulated companies: insights from a Spanish sample,” J. World Bus., vol. 49, no. 3, pp. 301–311, 2014.
[7] E. Cleeve, “Political and institutional impediments to foreign direct investment inflows to sub-Saharan Africa,” THUNDERBIRD Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 54, no. 4, pp. 469–477, 2012.
[8] A. Kerner and J. Lawrence, “What’s risk? Bilateral investment treaties, political risk and fixed capital accummulation,” Br. J. Polit. Sci., vol. 44, no. 1, pp. 107–121, 2014.
[9] M. M. Khan and M. I. Akbar, “The impact of political risk on foreign direct investment,” Int. J. Econ. Financ., vol. 5, no. 8, pp. 147–165, 2013.
[10] A. Al-Khattab, J. R. Achor, and E. M. Davies, “The institutionalization of political risk assessment (IPRA) in Jordanian international firms,” Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 17, no. 6, pp. 688–702, 2008.
[11] A. A. Khattab, J. Anchor, and E. Davies, “Managerial perceptions of political risk in international projects,” Int. J. Proj. Manag., vol. 25, no. 7, pp. 734–743, 2007.
[12] M. J. Mol, C. Stadler, and A. Arino, “Africa: the new frontier for global strategy scholars,” Glob. Strateg. J., vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 3–9, 2017.
[13] R. Grosse and J. N. Behrman, “Theory in international business,” Transnatl. Corp., vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 93–126, 1992.
[14] S. H. Robock, “Political risk-identification and assessment,” Columbia J. World Bus., vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 6–20, 1971.
[15] C. E. Sottilotta, “Political risk assessment and the Arab Spring: What can we learn?,” THUNDERBIRD Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 57, no. 5, pp. 379–390, 2015.
[16] B. Fagersten, “Political risk and the commercial sector: aligning theory and practice,” Risk Manag., vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 23–39, 2015.
[17] D. A. Schmidt, “Analyzing political risk,” Bus. Horiz., vol. 43–50, no. 29, p. 4, 1986.
[18] L. D. Howell and B. Chaddick, “Models of political risk for foreign investment and trade: an assessment of three approaches,” Columbia J. World Bus., vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 70–91, 1994.
[19] C. E. Sottilotta, “Political risk: concepts, definitions, challenges,” ISSN: 2282-4189, 2013.
[20] H. Lehkonen and K. Heimonen, “Democracy, political risks and stock market performance,” J. Int. Money Financ., vol. 59, pp. 77–99, 2015.
[21] N. M. Jensen, “Political risk, democratic institutions, and foreign direct investment,” J. Polit., vol. 70, pp. 1040–1052, 2008.
[22] A. Jimenez, J. C. Puche-Regaliza, J. A. Jimenez-Euizabal, and I. Alon, “Political discretionality and corruption: the impact of institutional quality on formal and informal entrepreneurship,” Eur. J. Int. Manag., vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 280–300, 2017.
[23] R. I. for the S. of Journalism, “Digital News Report (Business News Consumption),” Oxford, 2012.
[24] “‘Maduro Government Affirms Expropriation of Clorox De Venezuela; Venezuela Asset Sale Process Ends,’” Yahoo Finance, 2014.
[25] P. Collier and A. C. Pattillo, Investment and Risk in Africa. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2000.
[26] J. A. Frieden, “International investment and colonial control: A new interpretation,” Int. Organ., vol. 48, no. 4, 1994.
[27] N. M. Jensen et al., Politics and foreign direct investment. Michigan: Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2012.
[28] J. H. Dunning, Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy. Wo-Kingham: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, 1993.
[29] A. A. Bevan and S. Estrin, “The determinants of foreign direct investment into European transition economies,” J. Comp. Econ., vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 775–787, 2004.
[30] A. Delios and P. W. Beamish, “Ownership strategy of Japanese firms: transnational, institutional, and experience influences,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 20, pp. 915–933, 1999.
[31] S. J. Chang and P. M. Rosenzweig, “The choice of entry mode in sequential foreign direct investment,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 22, no. 8, pp. 747–776, 2001.
[32] C. Dhanaraj and P. W. Beamish, “Effect of equity ownership on survival of international joint ventures,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 25, no. 3, pp. 295–305, 2004.
[33] S. J. Kobrin, “Foreign enterprise and forced divestment in LDCs,” Int. Organ., vol. 34, no. 1, 1980, doi: DOI: 10.1017/S0020818300003970.
[34] S. J. Kobrin, “Expropriation as an attempt to control foreign firms in LDCs: Trends from 1960 to 1979,” Int. Stud. Q., vol. 28, no. 3, pp. 329–348, 1984.
[35] C. Lipson, “Private cooperation in rescheduling sovereign debts,” World Polit., vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 200–225, 1985.
[36] N. M. Jensen, Nation-States and the Multinational Corporation: Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2006.
[37] P. M. Pinto and M. M. Pinto, “The politics of investment partisanship: And the sectoral allocation of foreign direct investment,” Econ. Polit., vol. 20, no. 2, pp. 216–54, 2008.
[38] N. M. Jensen et al., Politics and Foreign Direct Investment. Ann Arbor. university of Michigan Press, 2012.
[39] C. F. Pinto, M. P. Ferreira, C. Falasha, M. T. L. Fleury, and A. Fleury, “Ownership in cross-border acquisitions and the role of government support,” J. World Bus., vol. 52, no. 4, pp. 533–545, 2017.
[40] T. Khanna and J. Rivkin, “Estimating the performance effects of business groups in emerging markets,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 45–74, 2001.
[41] M. W. Hansen, T. Pedersen, and B. Petersen, “MNC strategies and linkage effects in developing countries,” J. World Bus., vol. 44, pp. 121–130, 2009.
[42] M. W. Peng, “Institutional transitions and strategic choices,” Acad. Manag. Rev., vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 275–296, 2003.
[43] M. Wright, I. Filatotchev, R. E. Hoskisson, and M. W. Peng, “Strategic research in emerging economies: challenging the conventional wisdom,” J. Manag. Stud., vol. 42, no. 1, pp. 1–33, 2005.
[44] A. Delios and P. W. Beamish, “Survival and Profitability: The roles of experience and intangible assets in foreign subsidiary performance,” Acad. Manag. J., vol. 44, pp. 69–91, 2001.
[45] A. Delios and W. J. Henisz, “Political harzards and the sequence of entry by Japanese firms,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 227–241, 2003.
[46] Z. Abubakari, W. Min, and I. Abubakari, “The moderating effects of related experience and firm size: Will multinationals opt for acquisitions in high informal institutional settings?,” Eur. J. Int. Manag., vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 85–117, 2021, doi: 10.1504/EJIM.2019.10017017.
[47] J. Jaemin, “Acquisitions or joint ventures: foreign market entry strategy of US advertising agencies,” J. Media Econ., vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 35–50, 2004.
[48] R. Mudambi and S. M. Mudambi, “Diversification and market entry choices in the context of foreign direct investment,” Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 35–55, 2002.
[49] D. Dikova, P. R. Sahib, and A. van Witteloostuijn, “Cross-border acquisition abandonment completion: The effect of institutional differences and organisational learning in the international business service industry,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 41, no. 2, pp. 223–245, 2010.
[50] D. Dikova and A. van Witteloostuijn, “Foreign direct investment mode choice: Entry and establishment modes in transition economies,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 38, pp. 1013–1033, 2007.
[51] I. Kolstad and A. Wiig, “Better the devil you know? Chinese foreign direct investment in Africa,” J. African Bus., vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 31–50, 2011.
[52] R. Chen, L. Cui, S. Li, and R. Rolfe, “Acquisition or greenfield entry into Africa? Responding to institutional dynamics in an emerging continent,” Glob. Strateg. J., vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 212–230, 2017.
[53] B. N. Anand and T. Khanna, “Do firms learn to create value? The case of alliances,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 21, pp. 295–315, 2000.
[54] A. Arslan and Larimo J, “Ownership strategy of enterprises and the impacts of regulative and normative institutional: Evidence from Finnish foreign direct investments in Central and Eastern Europe.,” J. East-West Bus., vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 179–200, 2010.
[55] J. Larimo and A. Arslan, “Determinants of foreign direct investment ownership mode choice: Evidence from Nordic investments in Central and Eastern Europe,” J. East Eur. Manag. Stud., vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 232–263, 2013.
[56] K. D. Brouthers and K. E. Brouthers, “Acquisition or greenfield start-up?,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 21, no. 1, pp. 89–97, 2000.
[57] T. Anderson and R. Svensson, “Entry modes for direct investment determined by the composition of firm-specific skills,” Scand. J. Econ., vol. 96, no. 4, pp. 551–560, 1994.
[58] A. H. Slangen and D. Dikova, “Planned marketing adaptation and multinationals’ choices between acquisitions and greenfields,” J. Int. Mark., vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 68–88, 2014.
[59] K. D. Brouthers and D. Dikova, “Acquisitions and real options: the greenfield alternative,” J. Manag. Stud., vol. 47, no. 6, pp. 1048–1071, 2010.
[60] A. H. Slangen and J.-F. Hennart, “Do multinationals really prefer to enter culturally distant countries through Greenfields rather than through Acquisitions? The role of parent experience and subsidiary autonomy,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 39, no. 3, pp. 472–490, 2008.
[61] M. Nagano, “Similarities and differences among cross-border M&A and greenfield FDI determinants: evidence from Asia and Oceania,” Emerg. Mark. Rev., vol. 16, pp. 100–118, 2013.
[62] R. Reinikka and R. Svensson, “Local capture: evidence from a central government transfer program in Uganda,” Q. J. Econ., vol. 119, no. 2, pp. 679–705, 2004.
[63] J. Svensson, “Who must pay bribes and how much?,” Q. J. Econ., vol. 118, no. 1, pp. 207–230, 2003.
[64] B. A. Olken and P. Baron, “The simple economics of extortion: evidence from trucking in Aceh,” J. Polit. Econ., vol. 117, no. 3, pp. 417–452, 2009.
[65] B. A. Olken, “Monitoring corruption: evidence from a field experiment in Indonesia,” Manuscript, 2004.
[66] P. J. Buckley, L. J. Clegg, A. R. Cross, X. Liu, H. Voss, and P. Zheng, “The determinants of Chinese outward foreign direct investment,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 38, no. 4, pp. 499–518, 2007.
[67] P. J. Buckley, M. T. Devinney, and J. J. Louviere, “Do managers behave the way theory suggests? A choice-theoretic examination of foreign direct investment location decision-making,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 38, pp. 1055–1068, 2007.
[68] J. F. Hennart and Y.-R. Park, “Greenfield vs acquisition: the strategy of Japanese investors in the United States,” Manage. Sci., vol. 39, no. 9, pp. 1054–1070, 1993.
[69] J.-F. Hennart and Larimo J., “The impact of culture on the strategy of multinational enterprises: Does national origin affect ownership decisions?,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 515–538, 1998.
[70] S. Estrin and K. E. Meyer, “Institutional Distance and International Entry Strategies,” 2007.
[71] L. Cui and F. Jiang, “State ownership effect on firms’ FDI ownership decisions under institutional pressure: a study of Chinese outward-investing firms,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 43, no. 3, pp. 264–284, 2012.
[72] E. Asiedu, “Foreign direct investment in Africa: the role of natural resources, market size, government policy, institutions and political stability,” World Econ., vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 63–77, 2006.
[73] K. S. Powell and M. Rhee, “Experience in different institutional environments and foreign subsidiary ownership structure,” J. Manage., vol. 42, no. 6, pp. 1434–1461, 2016.
[74] R. S. Liou, M. C. H. Chao, and M. Yang, “Emerging economies and institutional quality: assessing the differential effects of institutional distances on ownership strategy,” J. World Bus., vol. 51, no. 4, pp. 600–611, 2016.
[75] M. A. Carpenter, T. G. Pollock, and M. M. Leary, “Testing a model of reasoned risk-taking: Governance, the experience of principals and agents, and global strategy in high-technology IPO firms,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 24, pp. 803–820, 2003.
[76] P. J. Buckley and M. C. Casson, “Analyzing foreign market entry strategies: extending the internalization approach,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 29, no. 3, pp. 539–561, 1998.
[77] A. M. Rugman, International Diversification and the Multinational Enterprise. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1979.
[78] E. Anderson and H. Gatignon, “Modes of entry: A transaction cost analysis and propositions,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 11, pp. 1–26, 1986.
[79] K. D. Brouthers and K. E. Brouthers, “Why service and manufacturing entry mode choices differ: The influence of transaction cost factors, risk and trust,” J. Manag. Stud., vol. 40, no. 5, pp. 1179–1204, 2003.
[80] M. K. Erramilli and P. C. Rao, “Services firms’ international entry mode choice: A modified transaction-cost analysis approach,” J. Mark., vol. 57, no. 3, pp. 19–150, 1993.
[81] H. Gatignon and E. Anderson, “The multinational corporation’s degree of control over foreign subsidiaries: An empirical test of a transaction cost explanation,” J. Law, Econ. Organ., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 305–336, 1988.
[82] C. W. Hill, P. Hwang, and W. C. Kim, “An eclectic theory of choice of international entry mode,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 11, pp. 117–128, 1990.
[83] W. C. Kim and P. Hwang, “Global strategy and multinationals’ entry mode choice,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 23, pp. 29–53, 1992.
[84] Y. Lou, How to Enter China: Choices and Lessons. Michigan: Michigan: University of Michigan Press, 2000.
[85] G. L. F. Holburn and B. A. Zelner, “Political capabilities, policy risk, and international investment strategy: evidence from the global electric power generation industry,” Strateg. Manag. J., vol. 31, no. 2, pp. 1290–1315, 2010.
[86] D. Quer, E. Claver, and L. Rienda, “Political risk, cultural distance, and outward foreign direct investment: empirical evidence from large Chinese firms,” Asia Pacific J. Manag., vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 1089–1104, 2012.
[87] C. H. Knutsen, A. Rygh, and H. Hveen, “Does state ownership matter? Institutions’ effect on foreign direct investment revisited,” Bus. Polit., vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 1–31, 2011.
[88] T. Lawton and T. Rajwani, “Designing lobbying capabilities: managerial choices in unpredictable environments,” Eur. Bus. Rev., vol. 23, no. 2, pp. 167–189, 2011.
[89] T. Lawton, T. Rajwani, and J. P. Doh, “The antecedents of political capabilities: A study of ownership, cross-border activity and organization at legacy airlines in a deregulatory context,” Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 228–242, no. 22, p. 1, 2013.
[90] M. De Villa, T. Rajwani, and T. Lawton, “Market entry modes in multipolar world: untangling the moderating effect of political environment,” Int. Bus. Rev., vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 419–429, 2015.
[91] S. T. Makino and A. Delios, “Local knowledge transfer and performance: Implications for alliance formation in Asia,” J. Int. Bus. Stud., vol. 27, pp. 905–928, 1996.
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Abubakari Zakari, Joyce Francisca Addo, Marian Maclean, Kakraba Ben Komla, Wang Min, et al. (2022). Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets. International Journal of Business and Economics Research, 11(2), 54-64. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Abubakari Zakari; Joyce Francisca Addo; Marian Maclean; Kakraba Ben Komla; Wang Min, et al. Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets. Int. J. Bus. Econ. Res. 2022, 11(2), 54-64. doi: 10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Abubakari Zakari, Joyce Francisca Addo, Marian Maclean, Kakraba Ben Komla, Wang Min, et al. Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets. Int J Bus Econ Res. 2022;11(2):54-64. doi: 10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11,
      author = {Abubakari Zakari and Joyce Francisca Addo and Marian Maclean and Kakraba Ben Komla and Wang Min and Abubakari Iddrisu},
      title = {Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets},
      journal = {International Journal of Business and Economics Research},
      volume = {11},
      number = {2},
      pages = {54-64},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijber.20221102.11},
      abstract = {This research examines the relationship between political risk and the volume of FDI activity and ownership strategy of foreign firms in Africa. Our study employs panel regression models to examine 2,360 FDIs into four low political risk and five high political risk African countries during the period 2010-2017. This data represents FDIs from the top 10 countries with the most investments in Africa (UNCTAD, 2018). We find that there is a progressive increase in the volume of FDI activity by multinationals in high political risk countries, even though low political risk countries remain the preferred FDI destinations. We also find that joint venture (JV) is the preferred ownership strategy by foreign multinationals in high political risk African countries. The preferred ownership strategy in this research helps firms mitigate potential hostile government policies such as expropriations. This research contributes both theoretically and empirically to enrich the political economy and international business literature.},
     year = {2022}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Political Risk, Volume of FDI, and Ownership Strategy: Contextual Analysis of African Markets
    AU  - Abubakari Zakari
    AU  - Joyce Francisca Addo
    AU  - Marian Maclean
    AU  - Kakraba Ben Komla
    AU  - Wang Min
    AU  - Abubakari Iddrisu
    Y1  - 2022/03/15
    PY  - 2022
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11
    T2  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    JF  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    JO  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    SP  - 54
    EP  - 64
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-756X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221102.11
    AB  - This research examines the relationship between political risk and the volume of FDI activity and ownership strategy of foreign firms in Africa. Our study employs panel regression models to examine 2,360 FDIs into four low political risk and five high political risk African countries during the period 2010-2017. This data represents FDIs from the top 10 countries with the most investments in Africa (UNCTAD, 2018). We find that there is a progressive increase in the volume of FDI activity by multinationals in high political risk countries, even though low political risk countries remain the preferred FDI destinations. We also find that joint venture (JV) is the preferred ownership strategy by foreign multinationals in high political risk African countries. The preferred ownership strategy in this research helps firms mitigate potential hostile government policies such as expropriations. This research contributes both theoretically and empirically to enrich the political economy and international business literature.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Department of Management Studies, Kumasi Technical University, Kumasi, Ghana

  • Faculty of Creative Arts and Technology, Kumasi Technical University, Kumasi, Ghana

  • Department of Management Studies, Kumasi Technical University, Kumasi, Ghana

  • Directorate of Finance, Kumasi Technical University, Kumasi, Ghana

  • Department of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China

  • Department of Mathematics, Dormaa Senior High School, Dormaa Ahenkro, Ghana

  • Sections