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The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia

Received: 7 September 2022    Accepted: 14 October 2022    Published: 31 October 2022
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Abstract

The achievement of economic growth is crucial for countries sustainable development. Recently, Value Added Tax (VAT) becomes a major worldwide tax instrument which enhances economic growth. Thus, this paper analyses the role of VAT on economic growth of Ethiopia from 1990 to 2021 based on theoretical and empirical evidences. The main objective of this study is to analyze role of tax in Ethiopia from (1990 to 2021). The method of analysis was econometrics analysis. This paper used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) in order to investigate the long-run and short run relationship between the dependent variable and its determinants. To test stationary Augmented Dickey –Fuller (ADF) test and Phillpes Perron (PP) test were used. The error correction coefficient, estimated at -0.75452 is highly significant, has the correct negative sign, and imply a very high speed of adjustment to equilibrium. R-squared is 0.6568: This implies that 65.68% of the real gross domestic product function is explained by the selected explanatory variables. In other words, 65.68% of variation of the dependent variable is due to the variation of the independent variables which included in the model and the remaining variation 34.32% is explained by the variables which are not included the model. To meet this objective, time series macro-economic data on GDP, VAT, and tax revenue excluding VAT, non-tax revenue, population, human capital and gross capital formation were used. This data is collected from National Bank of Ethiopia, Central Statistical Agency, World Development Indicator (WDI), the Global Economy, World Data Bank, National Bank of Ethiopia websites, Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority. The finding of the study reveals that strong and positive impact of VAT revenue on the economic growth (GDP) of Ethiopia during the periods under review. i.e. One per cent increase in the growth of net VAT revenue causes 20.35% increase in the growth of nominal GDP. However, to be effective, it requires strong administrations and cooperation’s of the tax payers with taxing authority and the government in general.

Published in International Journal of Business and Economics Research (Volume 11, Issue 5)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14
Page(s) 295-303
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Economic Growth, VAT, ARDL, ECM, Ethiopia

References
[1] Adari, M. M. (1997). Value Added Tax in Kenya. M. A. Research Paper, University of Nairobi.
[2] Adereti, S. A., Sanni, M. R., and Adesina, J. A. (2011). Value Added Tax and Economic Growth of Nigeria.
[3] Adesola, S. M. (2000). Tax Laws and Administration in Nigeria. Third revised edition, Oba femi Awolowo University Press, Ile Ife.
[4] Alan Schenk and Oliver Old Man. (2001). Value Added Tax, A Comparative approach in Theory and Practices, Transitional Publishers, Inc, Ardsley, New York.
[5] Alan, A. T. (1990). VAT Policy Issues, paper prepared for IMF and UNDP Seminar of VAT in Asia.
[6] Alemu, D. (2011). Empirical Analysis of The Contribution of Value added tax For Economic Development and Social Spending in Ethiopia (MSc Thesis). Addis Ababa University, Accounting and Finance.
[7] Bird, R. M. (2005). Value Added Taxes in Developing and Transitional Countries: Lessons and Questions. First Global International Tax Dialogue Conference on VAT.
[8] Brautigam, S. & Gale, W. (2012). Tax Reform for Growth, Equity, and Revenue.
[9] Capehart R. (1999). Optimal taxation and public production: Tax Rules.
[10] Due, Jhon F. and Francis P. (1975) The introduction of VAT in Trinidad and Tobago.
[11] Ebrill, L., Keen, M., Bodin, J-P., & Summers, V. (2002), The Allure of the Value-Added Tax.
[12] Ebrill, L., Keen, M., Bodin, J-P., & Summers, V. (2001). The Modern VAT, International Monetary Fund (IMF).
[13] EFIRA (2007) Federal Inland Revenue Authority collected 41% tax revenue from domestic sources in 2006-07 EC, EFIRA News.
[14] Emmanuel. (2013). The Effects of Value Added Tax (VAT) on the Economic Growt ofNigeria Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development Finance & Development, IMF.
[15] Gills, Malcolm, Carls Shoup and Gerado Sicat (1990), Value Added Taxation in Developing Countries. A World bank Symposium.
[16] Gujarati. (2004). Basic Econometrics. Six edition. International Edition Economic Series. New York. McGrew-Hill Inc.
[17] H. L. Bhatia. (2003). Public Finance, 24th revised edition, department of Economics, shri Ram College of Commerce.
[18] Hancock, Dora. (1995). Taxation: Policy and Practice. Chapman and Hall, 3rd Edition.
[19] Harvey S. Rosen. (1995). Public Finance, Value Added Tax Implementation Issues. The United states revenue system.
[20] Hassan. (2011). The role of Value Added Tax (VAT) in the economic growth (GDP) of Pakistan.
[21] Jones L. M. (2003). Optional Taxation in Models of Endogenous Growth, Journal of Political Economy 101 (3), 485-517.
[22] Keen, M. & Lockwood. (2007). The Value Added Tax: Its Causes and Consequences.
[23] Madalla. (1984). Basic Econometrics 2nd edition International Edition Economic Series. New York. McGrew-Hill Inc.
[24] Micheal. (2015). The Knowledge Tax. University of Chicago Law Review.
[25] Miki, B. (2011). The Effect of the VAT Rate Change on Aggregate Consumption and Economic Growth.
[26] Teffera, A. H. (2004). Assessment on the value added tax implementation in Ethiopia, Paper presented at the 2nd International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy.
[27] Unegbu and Irefin. (2011). the impact of Value Added Tax on economic and human developments of Adamawa State of Nigeria.
[28] Wawire, N. H. (2011). Determinants of Value Added Tax Revenue in Kenya.
[29] Worlu, C. N. And Nkoro, E. (2012). Tax Revenue and Economic Development in Nigeria: A Macro-econometric Approach.
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  • APA Style

    Assefa Belay. (2022). The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia. International Journal of Business and Economics Research, 11(5), 295-303. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14

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    ACS Style

    Assefa Belay. The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia. Int. J. Bus. Econ. Res. 2022, 11(5), 295-303. doi: 10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14

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    AMA Style

    Assefa Belay. The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia. Int J Bus Econ Res. 2022;11(5):295-303. doi: 10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14,
      author = {Assefa Belay},
      title = {The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia},
      journal = {International Journal of Business and Economics Research},
      volume = {11},
      number = {5},
      pages = {295-303},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijber.20221105.14},
      abstract = {The achievement of economic growth is crucial for countries sustainable development. Recently, Value Added Tax (VAT) becomes a major worldwide tax instrument which enhances economic growth. Thus, this paper analyses the role of VAT on economic growth of Ethiopia from 1990 to 2021 based on theoretical and empirical evidences. The main objective of this study is to analyze role of tax in Ethiopia from (1990 to 2021). The method of analysis was econometrics analysis. This paper used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) in order to investigate the long-run and short run relationship between the dependent variable and its determinants. To test stationary Augmented Dickey –Fuller (ADF) test and Phillpes Perron (PP) test were used. The error correction coefficient, estimated at -0.75452 is highly significant, has the correct negative sign, and imply a very high speed of adjustment to equilibrium. R-squared is 0.6568: This implies that 65.68% of the real gross domestic product function is explained by the selected explanatory variables. In other words, 65.68% of variation of the dependent variable is due to the variation of the independent variables which included in the model and the remaining variation 34.32% is explained by the variables which are not included the model. To meet this objective, time series macro-economic data on GDP, VAT, and tax revenue excluding VAT, non-tax revenue, population, human capital and gross capital formation were used. This data is collected from National Bank of Ethiopia, Central Statistical Agency, World Development Indicator (WDI), the Global Economy, World Data Bank, National Bank of Ethiopia websites, Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority. The finding of the study reveals that strong and positive impact of VAT revenue on the economic growth (GDP) of Ethiopia during the periods under review. i.e. One per cent increase in the growth of net VAT revenue causes 20.35% increase in the growth of nominal GDP. However, to be effective, it requires strong administrations and cooperation’s of the tax payers with taxing authority and the government in general.},
     year = {2022}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - The Role of Value Added Tax (VAT) on Economic Growth of Ethiopia
    AU  - Assefa Belay
    Y1  - 2022/10/31
    PY  - 2022
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14
    T2  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    JF  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    JO  - International Journal of Business and Economics Research
    SP  - 295
    EP  - 303
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-756X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijber.20221105.14
    AB  - The achievement of economic growth is crucial for countries sustainable development. Recently, Value Added Tax (VAT) becomes a major worldwide tax instrument which enhances economic growth. Thus, this paper analyses the role of VAT on economic growth of Ethiopia from 1990 to 2021 based on theoretical and empirical evidences. The main objective of this study is to analyze role of tax in Ethiopia from (1990 to 2021). The method of analysis was econometrics analysis. This paper used Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error Correction Model (ECM) in order to investigate the long-run and short run relationship between the dependent variable and its determinants. To test stationary Augmented Dickey –Fuller (ADF) test and Phillpes Perron (PP) test were used. The error correction coefficient, estimated at -0.75452 is highly significant, has the correct negative sign, and imply a very high speed of adjustment to equilibrium. R-squared is 0.6568: This implies that 65.68% of the real gross domestic product function is explained by the selected explanatory variables. In other words, 65.68% of variation of the dependent variable is due to the variation of the independent variables which included in the model and the remaining variation 34.32% is explained by the variables which are not included the model. To meet this objective, time series macro-economic data on GDP, VAT, and tax revenue excluding VAT, non-tax revenue, population, human capital and gross capital formation were used. This data is collected from National Bank of Ethiopia, Central Statistical Agency, World Development Indicator (WDI), the Global Economy, World Data Bank, National Bank of Ethiopia websites, Ethiopian Revenue and Customs Authority. The finding of the study reveals that strong and positive impact of VAT revenue on the economic growth (GDP) of Ethiopia during the periods under review. i.e. One per cent increase in the growth of net VAT revenue causes 20.35% increase in the growth of nominal GDP. However, to be effective, it requires strong administrations and cooperation’s of the tax payers with taxing authority and the government in general.
    VL  - 11
    IS  - 5
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Economics, St. Mary’s University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

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