Applied and Computational Mathematics

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Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study

Received: 27 August 2020    Accepted: 14 September 2020    Published: 28 September 2020
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Abstract

This study focused on exploiting machine learning algorithms for classifying and predicting injury severity of vehicle crashes in Yemen. The primary objective is to assess the contribution of the leading causes of injury severity. The selected machine learning algorithms compared with traditional statistical methods. The filtrated second data collected within two months (August-October 2015) from the two main hospitals included 156 injured patients of vehicle crashes reported from 128 locations. The data classified into three categories of injury severity: Severe, Serious, and Minor. It balanced using a synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). Multinomial logit model (MNL) compared with five machine learning classifiers: Naïve Bayes (NB), J48 Decision Tree, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). The results showed that most of machine learning-based algorithms performed well in predicting and classifying the severity of the traffic injury. Out of five classifiers, RF is the best classifier with 94.84% of accuracy. The characteristics of road type, total injured person, crash type, road user, transport way to the emergency department (ED), and accident action were the most critical factors in the severity of the traffic injury. Enhancing strategies for using roadway facilities may improve the safety of road users and regulations.

DOI 10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12
Published in Applied and Computational Mathematics (Volume 9, Issue 5, October 2020)
Page(s) 155-164
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Crash Injury Severity, Machine Learning, Traditional Statistical Methods, SMOTE, WEKA

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Author Information
  • School of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China; Mathematics Department, Faculty of Applied Sciences, Thamar University, Dhamar, Yemen

  • School of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China

  • School of Mathematics and Physics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China

  • Ministry of Public Health and Population Yemen Field Epidemiology Training Program Almaqaleh St, Sana’a, Yemen

  • School of Automation, China University of Geoscience, Wuhan, China

Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Tariq Al-Moqri, Xiao Haijun, Jean Pierre Namahoro, Eshrak Naji Alfalahi, Ibrahim Alwesabi. (2020). Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study. Applied and Computational Mathematics, 9(5), 155-164. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12

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    ACS Style

    Tariq Al-Moqri; Xiao Haijun; Jean Pierre Namahoro; Eshrak Naji Alfalahi; Ibrahim Alwesabi. Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study. Appl. Comput. Math. 2020, 9(5), 155-164. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12

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    AMA Style

    Tariq Al-Moqri, Xiao Haijun, Jean Pierre Namahoro, Eshrak Naji Alfalahi, Ibrahim Alwesabi. Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study. Appl Comput Math. 2020;9(5):155-164. doi: 10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12,
      author = {Tariq Al-Moqri and Xiao Haijun and Jean Pierre Namahoro and Eshrak Naji Alfalahi and Ibrahim Alwesabi},
      title = {Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study},
      journal = {Applied and Computational Mathematics},
      volume = {9},
      number = {5},
      pages = {155-164},
      doi = {10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12},
      eprint = {https://download.sciencepg.com/pdf/10.11648.j.acm.20200905.12},
      abstract = {This study focused on exploiting machine learning algorithms for classifying and predicting injury severity of vehicle crashes in Yemen. The primary objective is to assess the contribution of the leading causes of injury severity. The selected machine learning algorithms compared with traditional statistical methods. The filtrated second data collected within two months (August-October 2015) from the two main hospitals included 156 injured patients of vehicle crashes reported from 128 locations. The data classified into three categories of injury severity: Severe, Serious, and Minor. It balanced using a synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). Multinomial logit model (MNL) compared with five machine learning classifiers: Naïve Bayes (NB), J48 Decision Tree, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). The results showed that most of machine learning-based algorithms performed well in predicting and classifying the severity of the traffic injury. Out of five classifiers, RF is the best classifier with 94.84% of accuracy. The characteristics of road type, total injured person, crash type, road user, transport way to the emergency department (ED), and accident action were the most critical factors in the severity of the traffic injury. Enhancing strategies for using roadway facilities may improve the safety of road users and regulations.},
     year = {2020}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Exploiting Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Crash Injury Severity in Yemen: Hospital Case Study
    AU  - Tariq Al-Moqri
    AU  - Xiao Haijun
    AU  - Jean Pierre Namahoro
    AU  - Eshrak Naji Alfalahi
    AU  - Ibrahim Alwesabi
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    T2  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
    JF  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
    JO  - Applied and Computational Mathematics
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    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-5613
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.acm.20200905.12
    AB  - This study focused on exploiting machine learning algorithms for classifying and predicting injury severity of vehicle crashes in Yemen. The primary objective is to assess the contribution of the leading causes of injury severity. The selected machine learning algorithms compared with traditional statistical methods. The filtrated second data collected within two months (August-October 2015) from the two main hospitals included 156 injured patients of vehicle crashes reported from 128 locations. The data classified into three categories of injury severity: Severe, Serious, and Minor. It balanced using a synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). Multinomial logit model (MNL) compared with five machine learning classifiers: Naïve Bayes (NB), J48 Decision Tree, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). The results showed that most of machine learning-based algorithms performed well in predicting and classifying the severity of the traffic injury. Out of five classifiers, RF is the best classifier with 94.84% of accuracy. The characteristics of road type, total injured person, crash type, road user, transport way to the emergency department (ED), and accident action were the most critical factors in the severity of the traffic injury. Enhancing strategies for using roadway facilities may improve the safety of road users and regulations.
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