Analysis of Potential of Inbound Tourism for Major Sources of Tourists and Influencing Factors in China
American Journal of Applied Mathematics
Volume 6, Issue 3, June 2018, Pages: 127-133
Received: Jul. 21, 2018; Accepted: Aug. 1, 2018; Published: Aug. 29, 2018
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Wenrong Pan, School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, China
Ying Liu, School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, China
Jiang Tong, School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang, China
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Since 2015, the inbound visitors of most sources of tourists such as Japan, Russia and Malaysia in China have been on a growing decrease. While the inbound visitors of some sources of tourists such as the United States, Germany and Thailand have only shown some subtle changes. Therefore, China’s inbound tourism is facing an increasingly great downward pressure. On the basis of existing researches, this paper screens indicators in light of the economic development of the source of tourists, the appeal of Chinese culture, the economic and trade exchanges with China and transportation costs in China. In consideration of cultural appeal, this paper establishes a new indicator system to evaluate the potential of inbound tourism of major sources of tourists. It finds out the problems in the process of their development and figures out some solutions in order to improve the competitiveness of China’s tourism. At the same time, this paper utilizes the principal component analysis to evaluate the potential of inbound tourism for nineteen sources of tourists with the help of cross-section data in 2015. It also ranks in a comprehensive way the major influencing factors of their potential of inbound tourism with direct oblimin. The ranking in order of importance is the rate of outbound tourism, the per capita national income, the proportion of the 25-64 age group, the number of Confucius Institutes, the number of overseas students in China, as well as investment in China. The evaluation result shows that South Korea, the United States and India are the sources of tourists with the highest potential in China. These countries such as Singapore, Germany, Russia, the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, and France have certain potential to be the sources of tourists. Moreover, Philippines, Indonesia, and Mongolia are at the end of the ranking.
Inbound Tourism, Cultural Appeal, Principal Component Analysis, Direct Oblimin
To cite this article
Wenrong Pan, Ying Liu, Jiang Tong, Analysis of Potential of Inbound Tourism for Major Sources of Tourists and Influencing Factors in China, American Journal of Applied Mathematics. Vol. 6, No. 3, 2018, pp. 127-133. doi: 10.11648/j.ajam.20180603.14
Copyright © 2018 Authors retain the copyright of this article.
This article is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License ( which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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