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Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy

Received: 20 June 2018    Accepted:     Published: 22 June 2018
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Abstract

At present, China’s economy is in a period of rapid growth. As an important part of economic and social development, China’s transportation industry has also developed rapidly. In recent years, the transportation structure has also constantly changed. Changes in the transport structure will inevitably have a certain impact on the national economy. The relationship between China's transport structure and the national economy is the main content of this article. Studying the relationship between China's transportation structure and the national economy will contribute to the formulation of a strategic plan for future transportation development. This paper adopts the price model of input-output analysis and builds the IPAC-SGM model based on the principle of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE). Taking 2012 as the base year, we will study the development trend of the national economy within 30 years by forecasting future changes in the structure of transportation. The results show that the adjustment of China's transportation structure will have a positive impact on employment and capital investment, and it will have a negative effect on the existing investment income as well as the development of economic benefits and GDP.

DOI 10.11648/j.si.20180602.13
Published in Science Innovation (Volume 6, Issue 2, April 2018)
Page(s) 66-72
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Transportation Structure, Economy, IPAC-SGM

References
[1] 国家统计局.中国统计年鉴(2013)[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2013。
[2] 张欣.可计算一般均衡模型的基本原理与编程[M].上海:上海人民出版社,2010:63-247。
[3] 细江敦弘,长泽健二,桥本秀夫著.赵伟,向国成译.可计算一般均衡模型导论:模型构建与政策模拟[M].大连:东北财经大学出版社,2014:9-30,70-122。
[4] 张树伟.基于一般均衡(CGE)框架的交通能源模拟与政策评价[D].北京:清华大学,2007:57-66,74-93。
[5] 王思强.中长期能源预测预警体系研究与应用[D].北京:北京交通大学,2009:10-11,54-75。
[6] 徐卓顺.可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型:建模原理、参数估计方法与应用研究[D].吉林:吉林大学,2009:16-62。
[7] 张成.四川省铁路运输业对区域国民经济的影响——基于CGE模型分析[D].四川:西南财经大学,2013:19-56。
[8] 闫珺.基于CGE模型的中国铁路基础设施投资波及效应研究 [D].北京:北京交通大学,2013:5-38。
[9] 程双雅,刁玉平.运输结构演进趋势分析[J].交通企业管理,2016年第5期,总第333期:7-9。
[10] 郭忠庆,乔睿.我国运输结构演进的趋势分析[J].交通节能与环保,2017年第1期:77-80。
Author Information
  • Tranffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

  • Tranffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

  • Tranffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China

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    Si Song, Xu Wu, Lei Feng. (2018). Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy. Science Innovation, 6(2), 66-72. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180602.13

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    ACS Style

    Si Song; Xu Wu; Lei Feng. Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy. Sci. Innov. 2018, 6(2), 66-72. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20180602.13

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    AMA Style

    Si Song, Xu Wu, Lei Feng. Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy. Sci Innov. 2018;6(2):66-72. doi: 10.11648/j.si.20180602.13

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  • @article{10.11648/j.si.20180602.13,
      author = {Si Song and Xu Wu and Lei Feng},
      title = {Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy},
      journal = {Science Innovation},
      volume = {6},
      number = {2},
      pages = {66-72},
      doi = {10.11648/j.si.20180602.13},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180602.13},
      eprint = {https://download.sciencepg.com/pdf/10.11648.j.si.20180602.13},
      abstract = {At present, China’s economy is in a period of rapid growth. As an important part of economic and social development, China’s transportation industry has also developed rapidly. In recent years, the transportation structure has also constantly changed. Changes in the transport structure will inevitably have a certain impact on the national economy. The relationship between China's transport structure and the national economy is the main content of this article. Studying the relationship between China's transportation structure and the national economy will contribute to the formulation of a strategic plan for future transportation development. This paper adopts the price model of input-output analysis and builds the IPAC-SGM model based on the principle of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE). Taking 2012 as the base year, we will study the development trend of the national economy within 30 years by forecasting future changes in the structure of transportation. The results show that the adjustment of China's transportation structure will have a positive impact on employment and capital investment, and it will have a negative effect on the existing investment income as well as the development of economic benefits and GDP.},
     year = {2018}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Analysis of the Impact of Transport Structure on National Economy
    AU  - Si Song
    AU  - Xu Wu
    AU  - Lei Feng
    Y1  - 2018/06/22
    PY  - 2018
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180602.13
    DO  - 10.11648/j.si.20180602.13
    T2  - Science Innovation
    JF  - Science Innovation
    JO  - Science Innovation
    SP  - 66
    EP  - 72
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-787X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.si.20180602.13
    AB  - At present, China’s economy is in a period of rapid growth. As an important part of economic and social development, China’s transportation industry has also developed rapidly. In recent years, the transportation structure has also constantly changed. Changes in the transport structure will inevitably have a certain impact on the national economy. The relationship between China's transport structure and the national economy is the main content of this article. Studying the relationship between China's transportation structure and the national economy will contribute to the formulation of a strategic plan for future transportation development. This paper adopts the price model of input-output analysis and builds the IPAC-SGM model based on the principle of Computable General Equilibrium (CGE). Taking 2012 as the base year, we will study the development trend of the national economy within 30 years by forecasting future changes in the structure of transportation. The results show that the adjustment of China's transportation structure will have a positive impact on employment and capital investment, and it will have a negative effect on the existing investment income as well as the development of economic benefits and GDP.
    VL  - 6
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

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