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Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability

Received: 10 February 2020    Accepted:     Published: 4 June 2020
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Abstract

This paper firstly introduces the development of Monte-Carlo method in connectivity reliability and its advantages and disadvantages in the study of road connectivity reliability. Secondly, introduce the traditional Monte Carlo method to calculate the reliability of the connection, and improve the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replace the pseudo-random number with Sobol sequence, which overcomes the The shortcomings make the result more accurate and increase the calculation speed from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of the Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for calculating the reliability of road connectivity, the advantages of the improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that this method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for the evaluation of the reliability of the road connectivity. The research on the reliability of road connectivity, this paper improves the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replacing the pseudo-random numbers with Sobol sequences, which overcomes the shortcomings caused by pseudo-random sequence sampling and makes the results It is more accurate and speeds up calculations from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of improved Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for the seismic reliability calculation of roads, the advantages of improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that the method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for road reliability assessment.

Published in Science Discovery (Volume 8, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12
Page(s) 32-36
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Connectivity Reliability, Improved Monte Carlo Method, Sobol Sequence, Accuracy

References
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  • APA Style

    Fang Jian, Sun Yaonan. (2020). Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability. Science Discovery, 8(2), 32-36. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12

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    ACS Style

    Fang Jian; Sun Yaonan. Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability. Sci. Discov. 2020, 8(2), 32-36. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12

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    AMA Style

    Fang Jian, Sun Yaonan. Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability. Sci Discov. 2020;8(2):32-36. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12,
      author = {Fang Jian and Sun Yaonan},
      title = {Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability},
      journal = {Science Discovery},
      volume = {8},
      number = {2},
      pages = {32-36},
      doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20200802.12},
      abstract = {This paper firstly introduces the development of Monte-Carlo method in connectivity reliability and its advantages and disadvantages in the study of road connectivity reliability. Secondly, introduce the traditional Monte Carlo method to calculate the reliability of the connection, and improve the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replace the pseudo-random number with Sobol sequence, which overcomes the The shortcomings make the result more accurate and increase the calculation speed from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of the Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for calculating the reliability of road connectivity, the advantages of the improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that this method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for the evaluation of the reliability of the road connectivity. The research on the reliability of road connectivity, this paper improves the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replacing the pseudo-random numbers with Sobol sequences, which overcomes the shortcomings caused by pseudo-random sequence sampling and makes the results It is more accurate and speeds up calculations from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of improved Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for the seismic reliability calculation of roads, the advantages of improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that the method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for road reliability assessment.},
     year = {2020}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Improved Monte Carlo method to Study Road Reliability
    AU  - Fang Jian
    AU  - Sun Yaonan
    Y1  - 2020/06/04
    PY  - 2020
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12
    DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12
    T2  - Science Discovery
    JF  - Science Discovery
    JO  - Science Discovery
    SP  - 32
    EP  - 36
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2331-0650
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20200802.12
    AB  - This paper firstly introduces the development of Monte-Carlo method in connectivity reliability and its advantages and disadvantages in the study of road connectivity reliability. Secondly, introduce the traditional Monte Carlo method to calculate the reliability of the connection, and improve the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replace the pseudo-random number with Sobol sequence, which overcomes the The shortcomings make the result more accurate and increase the calculation speed from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of the Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for calculating the reliability of road connectivity, the advantages of the improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that this method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for the evaluation of the reliability of the road connectivity. The research on the reliability of road connectivity, this paper improves the accuracy and speed of the traditional Monte Carlo method, that is, replacing the pseudo-random numbers with Sobol sequences, which overcomes the shortcomings caused by pseudo-random sequence sampling and makes the results It is more accurate and speeds up calculations from the side. Finally, by comparing the results of improved Monte Carlo method and Monte Carlo method for the seismic reliability calculation of roads, the advantages of improved Monte Carlo method in this respect are obtained. It shows that the method has certain correctness and superiority, and has a positive reference value for road reliability assessment.
    VL  - 8
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Civil Engineering, School of Science, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

  • Department of Civil Engineering, School of Science, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, China

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