Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years

Li Yabin; Hou Kai; Qian Hui

doi:doi:10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

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Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years

Li Yabin, Hou Kai, Qian Hui

Published in Science Discovery (Volume 4, Issue 3)

Received: 1 July 2016 Accepted: Published: 5 July 2016

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Abstract

According to the national weather service Tongchuan city for nearly 50 years (1964-2013) of rainfall measured data, the application of related theory and method of mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall nonparametric tests, R/S analysis method, linear regression theory, all the methods are used to study these datas. Based on the results of mathematical statistics, analysis of the trends in Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and time-space evolution. The results showed that the rainfall of Tongchuan is distributed unequal, it mainly concentrated in February, rainfall of Winter is lesser. In terms of the annual change, Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall overall showed a negative growth trend. At the same time, by using Mann-Kendall to Analysis this title we can see that, in 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12 months, it showed rainfall increased, at the same time, the most obvious increase was in June. Analysis of the H index, in 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 months they were greater than 0.5, it was showed that rainfall time series with long-term sustainability, changes in future rainfall characteristics can still play an important role in today’s rainfall predict. In this paper, China Tongchuan region for nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and trend of rainfall were studied, have discussed the changes in rainfall over the years as well as the possible future rainfall trends, base on this to guide the local economic construction, agricultural development and so on.

Published in	Science Discovery (Volume 4, Issue 3)
DOI	10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
Page(s)	176-182
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Mann-Kendall Nonparametric Tests, R/S Analysis Method, Rainfall Characteristics, Rainfall Trend

References

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[3]	赵华荣，夏北成，江学顶。桂林市近 50 年降雨变化特征分析，桂林理工大学学报[J]，2011（5）：202-206。
[4]	Jiang Zhou,Lihua Feng.Trend predictions in water resources using rescaled range (R/S) analysis, Environmental Earth Sciences[J], 2013, Vol.68 (8), pp.2359-2363.
[5]	王翠柏，楼章华，曹飞凤，徐礼强。永康市近50年降雨量时序变化特征分析[J]，人民珠江，2013（2）：48-51。
[6]	L. Acedo, Gilberto González-Parra, Abraham J. Arenas. An exact global solution for the classical S R/S epidemic model, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications[J], 2009, Vol.11 (3), pp. 1819-1825.
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[8]	曹洁萍，迟道才，武立强，刘丽，李帅莹，于淼。Mann-Kendall检验方法在降水趋势分析中的应用研究[J]，农业科技与装备，2008（10）：35-40。
[9]	Sheng Yue, ChunYuan Wang.The Mann-Kendall Test Modified by Effective Sample Size to Detect Trend in Serially Correlated Hydrological Series[J],Water Resources Management, 2004, Vol.18 (3).
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[11]	张涵丹，卫伟，薛萐。基于R/S分析和Mann-Kendall检验的定西市气温降水变化特征[J]，水土保持研究，2015（12）：183-189。
[12]	Ying He, Aiying Wang, Haijing Huang.The trend of natural illuminance levels in 14 Chinese cities in the past 50 years,Energy[J], Sustainability and Society, 2013, Vol.3 (1), pp.1-11.
[13]	康淑媛，张勃，柳景峰，杨明金。基于Mann-Kendall法的张掖市降水量时空分布规律分析[J]，资源科学，2009（3）：501-507。
[14]	张燕明，文俊，王新华，刘彤。基于Mann-Kendall分析的昆明降雨与气温变化趋势研究[J]，安徽农业科学，2011，39（25）：15755-15757.
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Li Yabin, Hou Kai, Qian Hui. (2016). Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Science Discovery, 4(3), 176-182. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

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ACS Style

Li Yabin; Hou Kai; Qian Hui. Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Sci. Discov. 2016, 4(3), 176-182. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

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AMA Style

Li Yabin, Hou Kai, Qian Hui. Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Sci Discov. 2016;4(3):176-182. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

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@article{10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14,
  author = {Li Yabin and Hou Kai and Qian Hui},
  title = {Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years},
  journal = {Science Discovery},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {176-182},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20160403.14},
  abstract = {According to the national weather service Tongchuan city for nearly 50 years (1964-2013) of rainfall measured data, the application of related theory and method of mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall nonparametric tests, R/S analysis method, linear regression theory, all the methods are used to study these datas. Based on the results of mathematical statistics, analysis of the trends in Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and time-space evolution. The results showed that the rainfall of Tongchuan is distributed unequal, it mainly concentrated in February, rainfall of Winter is lesser. In terms of the annual change, Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall overall showed a negative growth trend. At the same time, by using Mann-Kendall to Analysis this title we can see that, in 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12 months, it showed rainfall increased, at the same time, the most obvious increase was in June. Analysis of the H index, in 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 months they were greater than 0.5, it was showed that rainfall time series with long-term sustainability, changes in future rainfall characteristics can still play an important role in today’s rainfall predict. In this paper, China Tongchuan region for nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and trend of rainfall were studied, have discussed the changes in rainfall over the years as well as the possible future rainfall trends, base on this to guide the local economic construction, agricultural development and so on.},
 year = {2016}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years
AU  - Li Yabin
AU  - Hou Kai
AU  - Qian Hui
Y1  - 2016/07/05
PY  - 2016
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
T2  - Science Discovery
JF  - Science Discovery
JO  - Science Discovery
SP  - 176
EP  - 182
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2331-0650
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
AB  - According to the national weather service Tongchuan city for nearly 50 years (1964-2013) of rainfall measured data, the application of related theory and method of mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall nonparametric tests, R/S analysis method, linear regression theory, all the methods are used to study these datas. Based on the results of mathematical statistics, analysis of the trends in Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and time-space evolution. The results showed that the rainfall of Tongchuan is distributed unequal, it mainly concentrated in February, rainfall of Winter is lesser. In terms of the annual change, Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall overall showed a negative growth trend. At the same time, by using Mann-Kendall to Analysis this title we can see that, in 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12 months, it showed rainfall increased, at the same time, the most obvious increase was in June. Analysis of the H index, in 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 months they were greater than 0.5, it was showed that rainfall time series with long-term sustainability, changes in future rainfall characteristics can still play an important role in today’s rainfall predict. In this paper, China Tongchuan region for nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and trend of rainfall were studied, have discussed the changes in rainfall over the years as well as the possible future rainfall trends, base on this to guide the local economic construction, agricultural development and so on.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

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Author Information

Li Yabin

Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an, China
Hou Kai

Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an, China
Qian Hui

Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Chang'an University, Xi'an, China

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APA Style

Li Yabin, Hou Kai, Qian Hui. (2016). Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Science Discovery, 4(3), 176-182. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

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ACS Style

Li Yabin; Hou Kai; Qian Hui. Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Sci. Discov. 2016, 4(3), 176-182. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

Copy | Download

AMA Style

Li Yabin, Hou Kai, Qian Hui. Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years. Sci Discov. 2016;4(3):176-182. doi: 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14,
  author = {Li Yabin and Hou Kai and Qian Hui},
  title = {Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years},
  journal = {Science Discovery},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {176-182},
  doi = {10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sd.20160403.14},
  abstract = {According to the national weather service Tongchuan city for nearly 50 years (1964-2013) of rainfall measured data, the application of related theory and method of mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall nonparametric tests, R/S analysis method, linear regression theory, all the methods are used to study these datas. Based on the results of mathematical statistics, analysis of the trends in Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and time-space evolution. The results showed that the rainfall of Tongchuan is distributed unequal, it mainly concentrated in February, rainfall of Winter is lesser. In terms of the annual change, Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall overall showed a negative growth trend. At the same time, by using Mann-Kendall to Analysis this title we can see that, in 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12 months, it showed rainfall increased, at the same time, the most obvious increase was in June. Analysis of the H index, in 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 months they were greater than 0.5, it was showed that rainfall time series with long-term sustainability, changes in future rainfall characteristics can still play an important role in today’s rainfall predict. In this paper, China Tongchuan region for nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and trend of rainfall were studied, have discussed the changes in rainfall over the years as well as the possible future rainfall trends, base on this to guide the local economic construction, agricultural development and so on.},
 year = {2016}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Analysis of Characteristics of Rainfall in Tongchuan China During 50 Years
AU  - Li Yabin
AU  - Hou Kai
AU  - Qian Hui
Y1  - 2016/07/05
PY  - 2016
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
DO  - 10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
T2  - Science Discovery
JF  - Science Discovery
JO  - Science Discovery
SP  - 176
EP  - 182
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2331-0650
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sd.20160403.14
AB  - According to the national weather service Tongchuan city for nearly 50 years (1964-2013) of rainfall measured data, the application of related theory and method of mathematical statistics, Mann-Kendall nonparametric tests, R/S analysis method, linear regression theory, all the methods are used to study these datas. Based on the results of mathematical statistics, analysis of the trends in Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and time-space evolution. The results showed that the rainfall of Tongchuan is distributed unequal, it mainly concentrated in February, rainfall of Winter is lesser. In terms of the annual change, Tongchuan city nearly 50 years of rainfall overall showed a negative growth trend. At the same time, by using Mann-Kendall to Analysis this title we can see that, in 1, 2, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12 months, it showed rainfall increased, at the same time, the most obvious increase was in June. Analysis of the H index, in 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9 months they were greater than 0.5, it was showed that rainfall time series with long-term sustainability, changes in future rainfall characteristics can still play an important role in today’s rainfall predict. In this paper, China Tongchuan region for nearly 50 years of rainfall characteristics and trend of rainfall were studied, have discussed the changes in rainfall over the years as well as the possible future rainfall trends, base on this to guide the local economic construction, agricultural development and so on.
VL  - 4
IS  - 3
ER  -

Copy | Download