Science Journal of Analytical Chemistry

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Reduction of Energy Intensity of Gross Regional Product: Opportunities and Limitations

Received: 03 December 2018    Accepted: 17 December 2018    Published: 16 January 2019
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Abstract

In the article, on the basis of model calculations, the possibilities and limitations of reducing the energy intensity of the Gross Regional Product (GRP) of the subject of the Russian Federation are investigated, provided that the region develops taking into account the requirements of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. The calculations were carried out on interrelated models of the economy and energy of the Samara region, where scenarios for the region’s energy-efficient development were worked out, taking into account the targets of state programs for energy saving and energy efficiency development, declared in the Energy Strategy. As a result of research, it has been established that economic growth is the most important condition for reducing the energy intensity of GRP, and, the higher economic growth, the greater its contribution to the decrease in the energy intensity of GRP. It is also shown that a 40% reduction in GRP within the period of 2018–2035 is feasible only with the average annual economic growth of at least 5%, even with the absolute implementation of all sectoral programs on energy saving and energy efficiency development. Similar conclusions are true for Russian economy as a whole. If Russian economy develops at an average annual rate of less than 5%, then the main target indicator of the Energy Strategy - a decrease in the energy intensity of GDP by more than forty percent by 2035 compared to 2007 will be fundamentally unattainable.

DOI 10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11
Published in Science Journal of Analytical Chemistry (Volume 6, Issue 6, November 2018)
Page(s) 46-58
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Energy Intensity of GRP, Fuel and Energy Complex, Economic Growth, Modeling, Forecasting

References
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Author Information
  • Department of Regional Economics and Management, Samara State University of Economics, Samara, Russia

  • Department of Regional Economics and Management, Samara State University of Economics, Samara, Russia

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    Gabibulla Rabadanovich Khasaev, Vladimir Andreevich Tsybatov. (2019). Reduction of Energy Intensity of Gross Regional Product: Opportunities and Limitations. Science Journal of Analytical Chemistry, 6(6), 46-58. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11

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    Gabibulla Rabadanovich Khasaev; Vladimir Andreevich Tsybatov. Reduction of Energy Intensity of Gross Regional Product: Opportunities and Limitations. Sci. J. Anal. Chem. 2019, 6(6), 46-58. doi: 10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11

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    Gabibulla Rabadanovich Khasaev, Vladimir Andreevich Tsybatov. Reduction of Energy Intensity of Gross Regional Product: Opportunities and Limitations. Sci J Anal Chem. 2019;6(6):46-58. doi: 10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11,
      author = {Gabibulla Rabadanovich Khasaev and Vladimir Andreevich Tsybatov},
      title = {Reduction of Energy Intensity of Gross Regional Product: Opportunities and Limitations},
      journal = {Science Journal of Analytical Chemistry},
      volume = {6},
      number = {6},
      pages = {46-58},
      doi = {10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.sjac.20180606.11},
      eprint = {https://download.sciencepg.com/pdf/10.11648.j.sjac.20180606.11},
      abstract = {In the article, on the basis of model calculations, the possibilities and limitations of reducing the energy intensity of the Gross Regional Product (GRP) of the subject of the Russian Federation are investigated, provided that the region develops taking into account the requirements of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. The calculations were carried out on interrelated models of the economy and energy of the Samara region, where scenarios for the region’s energy-efficient development were worked out, taking into account the targets of state programs for energy saving and energy efficiency development, declared in the Energy Strategy. As a result of research, it has been established that economic growth is the most important condition for reducing the energy intensity of GRP, and, the higher economic growth, the greater its contribution to the decrease in the energy intensity of GRP. It is also shown that a 40% reduction in GRP within the period of 2018–2035 is feasible only with the average annual economic growth of at least 5%, even with the absolute implementation of all sectoral programs on energy saving and energy efficiency development. Similar conclusions are true for Russian economy as a whole. If Russian economy develops at an average annual rate of less than 5%, then the main target indicator of the Energy Strategy - a decrease in the energy intensity of GDP by more than forty percent by 2035 compared to 2007 will be fundamentally unattainable.},
     year = {2019}
    }
    

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    AU  - Gabibulla Rabadanovich Khasaev
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    JF  - Science Journal of Analytical Chemistry
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    AB  - In the article, on the basis of model calculations, the possibilities and limitations of reducing the energy intensity of the Gross Regional Product (GRP) of the subject of the Russian Federation are investigated, provided that the region develops taking into account the requirements of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. The calculations were carried out on interrelated models of the economy and energy of the Samara region, where scenarios for the region’s energy-efficient development were worked out, taking into account the targets of state programs for energy saving and energy efficiency development, declared in the Energy Strategy. As a result of research, it has been established that economic growth is the most important condition for reducing the energy intensity of GRP, and, the higher economic growth, the greater its contribution to the decrease in the energy intensity of GRP. It is also shown that a 40% reduction in GRP within the period of 2018–2035 is feasible only with the average annual economic growth of at least 5%, even with the absolute implementation of all sectoral programs on energy saving and energy efficiency development. Similar conclusions are true for Russian economy as a whole. If Russian economy develops at an average annual rate of less than 5%, then the main target indicator of the Energy Strategy - a decrease in the energy intensity of GDP by more than forty percent by 2035 compared to 2007 will be fundamentally unattainable.
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