One Example of Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for Predicting in Medicine
Cardiology and Cardiovascular Research
Volume 1, Issue 4, October 2017, Pages: 113-116
Received: Nov. 22, 2017; Accepted: Dec. 4, 2017; Published: Jan. 3, 2018
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Authors
Pavlo Ivanchuk, Internal Medicine, Physical Rehabilitation, Sports Medicine and Physical Training Department, Higher State Educational Establishment of Ukraine “Bucovinian State Medical University”, Chernivtsi, Ukraine
Maria Ivanchuk, Biological Physics and Medical Informatics Department, Higher State Educational Establishment of Ukraine “Bucovinian State Medical University”, Chernivtsi, Ukraine
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Abstract
Coronary heart disease is one of the most frequent causes of death in Ukraine. With the purpose of conducting adequate preventive work and planning the provision of specialized medical care for patients with coronary heart disease, the proposed paper predicts the prevalence of this disease in the next 10 years. The problem of prediction is solved by using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method. An increasing of the incidence of coronary heart disease to 35041.21 per 100,000 population in 2025 is predicted.
Keywords
Coronary Heart Disease, Prediction, Epidemiology, Markov Chain, Monte Carlo Methods
To cite this article
Pavlo Ivanchuk, Maria Ivanchuk, One Example of Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method for Predicting in Medicine, Cardiology and Cardiovascular Research. Vol. 1, No. 4, 2017, pp. 113-116. doi: 10.11648/j.ccr.20170104.13
Copyright
Copyright © 2017 Authors retain the copyright of this article.
This article is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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