Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises

Zhirong Zhang; Lichun Hou; Zhenshan Lin; Weihua Guan; Huiyu Liu; Fanyuan Zeng

doi:doi:10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises

Zhirong Zhang, Lichun Hou, Zhenshan Lin, Weihua Guan, Huiyu Liu, Fanyuan Zeng

Published in International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment (Volume 6, Issue 1)

Received: 17 January 2021 Accepted: 2 February 2021 Published: 10 February 2021

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Abstract

This article analyses the dynamics mechanism of international petrochemical enterprises vulnerability and select the key factor of resources to establish a nonlinear dynamical model, which discovering the internal binding relationship between the number of big petrochemical enterprises vulnerability, the petroleum shortage ratio (D) and the petroleum occupancy ratio of the biggest enterprise (q). The results show that, as D>q, the petroleum shortage ratio exceeds the occupancy ratio of the biggest international petrochemical enterprise in the international petroleum resource market, the following rules and characteristics exist in the evolution of petrochemical enterprises:(1) The biggest enterprise in the petrochemical system will inevitably decline. With petroleum shortage increasing, following the decline of the biggest petrochemical enterprise will be the second, the third-biggest petrochemical enterprises and so on. The number of big decline petrochemical enterprise will increase with the increase of the value of D/q. The time for the petrochemical enterprises to go decline will be from 50 to 500 days. (2) After an incident of petroleum shortage, the surviving petrochemical enterprises will go through three stages: (A) resisting stage. (B) resumption stage. (C) stable stage. The international petrochemical industry will strictly observe the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law. If the shortage of petroleum leads to the decline of odd-number petrochemical enterprises, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise system will obey the even-odd number symmetry law, i.e. the former ordinal number petrochemical enterprises become bigger. If the decline petrochemical enterprise in this system is ranked even-number, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise will obey the odd - even number symmetry law, i.e. the former odd numbered petrochemical enterprise become bigger, but those former even numbered get smaller. We think that a petrochemical enterprise will continually develop and grow stronger in the petroleum competition, only if it seizes the petroleum shortage ratio and the occupancy of the biggest enterprise in the petroleum resource market, understands the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law in the petroleum economical system and positions itself correctly.

Published in	International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment (Volume 6, Issue 1)
DOI	10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
Page(s)	11-17
Creative Commons	This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright	Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Petrochemical Enterprise, Vulnerability, Mathematical Model, Dynamic Mechanism, Petroleum Shortage Ratio

References

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APA Style

Zhirong Zhang, Lichun Hou, Zhenshan Lin, Weihua Guan, Huiyu Liu, et al. (2021). Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment, 6(1), 11-17. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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ACS Style

Zhirong Zhang; Lichun Hou; Zhenshan Lin; Weihua Guan; Huiyu Liu, et al. Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. Int. J. Econ. Energy Environ. 2021, 6(1), 11-17. doi: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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AMA Style

Zhirong Zhang, Lichun Hou, Zhenshan Lin, Weihua Guan, Huiyu Liu, et al. Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. Int J Econ Energy Environ. 2021;6(1):11-17. doi: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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@article{10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12,
  author = {Zhirong Zhang and Lichun Hou and Zhenshan Lin and Weihua Guan and Huiyu Liu and Fanyuan Zeng},
  title = {Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises},
  journal = {International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment},
  volume = {6},
  number = {1},
  pages = {11-17},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  abstract = {This article analyses the dynamics mechanism of international petrochemical enterprises vulnerability and select the key factor of resources to establish a nonlinear dynamical model, which discovering the internal binding relationship between the number of big petrochemical enterprises vulnerability, the petroleum shortage ratio (D) and the petroleum occupancy ratio of the biggest enterprise (q). The results show that, as D>q, the petroleum shortage ratio exceeds the occupancy ratio of the biggest international petrochemical enterprise in the international petroleum resource market, the following rules and characteristics exist in the evolution of petrochemical enterprises:(1) The biggest enterprise in the petrochemical system will inevitably decline. With petroleum shortage increasing, following the decline of the biggest petrochemical enterprise will be the second, the third-biggest petrochemical enterprises and so on. The number of big decline petrochemical enterprise will increase with the increase of the value of D/q. The time for the petrochemical enterprises to go decline will be from 50 to 500 days. (2) After an incident of petroleum shortage, the surviving petrochemical enterprises will go through three stages: (A) resisting stage. (B) resumption stage. (C) stable stage. The international petrochemical industry will strictly observe the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law. If the shortage of petroleum leads to the decline of odd-number petrochemical enterprises, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise system will obey the even-odd number symmetry law, i.e. the former ordinal number petrochemical enterprises become bigger. If the decline petrochemical enterprise in this system is ranked even-number, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise will obey the odd - even number symmetry law, i.e. the former odd numbered petrochemical enterprise become bigger, but those former even numbered get smaller. We think that a petrochemical enterprise will continually develop and grow stronger in the petroleum competition, only if it seizes the petroleum shortage ratio and the occupancy of the biggest enterprise in the petroleum resource market, understands the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law in the petroleum economical system and positions itself correctly.},
 year = {2021}
}

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TY  - JOUR
T1  - Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises
AU  - Zhirong Zhang
AU  - Lichun Hou
AU  - Zhenshan Lin
AU  - Weihua Guan
AU  - Huiyu Liu
AU  - Fanyuan Zeng
Y1  - 2021/02/10
PY  - 2021
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
T2  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
JF  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
JO  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
SP  - 11
EP  - 17
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-5021
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
AB  - This article analyses the dynamics mechanism of international petrochemical enterprises vulnerability and select the key factor of resources to establish a nonlinear dynamical model, which discovering the internal binding relationship between the number of big petrochemical enterprises vulnerability, the petroleum shortage ratio (D) and the petroleum occupancy ratio of the biggest enterprise (q). The results show that, as D>q, the petroleum shortage ratio exceeds the occupancy ratio of the biggest international petrochemical enterprise in the international petroleum resource market, the following rules and characteristics exist in the evolution of petrochemical enterprises:(1) The biggest enterprise in the petrochemical system will inevitably decline. With petroleum shortage increasing, following the decline of the biggest petrochemical enterprise will be the second, the third-biggest petrochemical enterprises and so on. The number of big decline petrochemical enterprise will increase with the increase of the value of D/q. The time for the petrochemical enterprises to go decline will be from 50 to 500 days. (2) After an incident of petroleum shortage, the surviving petrochemical enterprises will go through three stages: (A) resisting stage. (B) resumption stage. (C) stable stage. The international petrochemical industry will strictly observe the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law. If the shortage of petroleum leads to the decline of odd-number petrochemical enterprises, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise system will obey the even-odd number symmetry law, i.e. the former ordinal number petrochemical enterprises become bigger. If the decline petrochemical enterprise in this system is ranked even-number, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise will obey the odd - even number symmetry law, i.e. the former odd numbered petrochemical enterprise become bigger, but those former even numbered get smaller. We think that a petrochemical enterprise will continually develop and grow stronger in the petroleum competition, only if it seizes the petroleum shortage ratio and the occupancy of the biggest enterprise in the petroleum resource market, understands the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law in the petroleum economical system and positions itself correctly.
VL  - 6
IS  - 1
ER  -

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Author Information

Zhirong Zhang

School of History Geography and Tourism, Shangrao Normal University, Shangrao, China
Lichun Hou

School of History Geography and Tourism, Shangrao Normal University, Shangrao, China
Zhenshan Lin

School of Geographic Science, NanJing Normal University, Nanjing, China
Weihua Guan

School of Geographic Science, NanJing Normal University, Nanjing, China
Huiyu Liu

School of Geographic Science, NanJing Normal University, Nanjing, China
Fanyuan Zeng

School of History Geography and Tourism, Shangrao Normal University, Shangrao, China

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Plain Text BibTeX RIS

APA Style

Zhirong Zhang, Lichun Hou, Zhenshan Lin, Weihua Guan, Huiyu Liu, et al. (2021). Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment, 6(1), 11-17. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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ACS Style

Zhirong Zhang; Lichun Hou; Zhenshan Lin; Weihua Guan; Huiyu Liu, et al. Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. Int. J. Econ. Energy Environ. 2021, 6(1), 11-17. doi: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

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AMA Style

Zhirong Zhang, Lichun Hou, Zhenshan Lin, Weihua Guan, Huiyu Liu, et al. Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises. Int J Econ Energy Environ. 2021;6(1):11-17. doi: 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12

Copy | Download

@article{10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12,
  author = {Zhirong Zhang and Lichun Hou and Zhenshan Lin and Weihua Guan and Huiyu Liu and Fanyuan Zeng},
  title = {Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises},
  journal = {International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment},
  volume = {6},
  number = {1},
  pages = {11-17},
  doi = {10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijeee.20210601.12},
  abstract = {This article analyses the dynamics mechanism of international petrochemical enterprises vulnerability and select the key factor of resources to establish a nonlinear dynamical model, which discovering the internal binding relationship between the number of big petrochemical enterprises vulnerability, the petroleum shortage ratio (D) and the petroleum occupancy ratio of the biggest enterprise (q). The results show that, as D>q, the petroleum shortage ratio exceeds the occupancy ratio of the biggest international petrochemical enterprise in the international petroleum resource market, the following rules and characteristics exist in the evolution of petrochemical enterprises:(1) The biggest enterprise in the petrochemical system will inevitably decline. With petroleum shortage increasing, following the decline of the biggest petrochemical enterprise will be the second, the third-biggest petrochemical enterprises and so on. The number of big decline petrochemical enterprise will increase with the increase of the value of D/q. The time for the petrochemical enterprises to go decline will be from 50 to 500 days. (2) After an incident of petroleum shortage, the surviving petrochemical enterprises will go through three stages: (A) resisting stage. (B) resumption stage. (C) stable stage. The international petrochemical industry will strictly observe the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law. If the shortage of petroleum leads to the decline of odd-number petrochemical enterprises, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise system will obey the even-odd number symmetry law, i.e. the former ordinal number petrochemical enterprises become bigger. If the decline petrochemical enterprise in this system is ranked even-number, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise will obey the odd - even number symmetry law, i.e. the former odd numbered petrochemical enterprise become bigger, but those former even numbered get smaller. We think that a petrochemical enterprise will continually develop and grow stronger in the petroleum competition, only if it seizes the petroleum shortage ratio and the occupancy of the biggest enterprise in the petroleum resource market, understands the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law in the petroleum economical system and positions itself correctly.},
 year = {2021}
}

Copy | Download

TY  - JOUR
T1  - Dynamics Mechanism of Vulnerability for Petroleum Enterprises
AU  - Zhirong Zhang
AU  - Lichun Hou
AU  - Zhenshan Lin
AU  - Weihua Guan
AU  - Huiyu Liu
AU  - Fanyuan Zeng
Y1  - 2021/02/10
PY  - 2021
N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
DO  - 10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
T2  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
JF  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
JO  - International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment
SP  - 11
EP  - 17
PB  - Science Publishing Group
SN  - 2575-5021
UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijeee.20210601.12
AB  - This article analyses the dynamics mechanism of international petrochemical enterprises vulnerability and select the key factor of resources to establish a nonlinear dynamical model, which discovering the internal binding relationship between the number of big petrochemical enterprises vulnerability, the petroleum shortage ratio (D) and the petroleum occupancy ratio of the biggest enterprise (q). The results show that, as D>q, the petroleum shortage ratio exceeds the occupancy ratio of the biggest international petrochemical enterprise in the international petroleum resource market, the following rules and characteristics exist in the evolution of petrochemical enterprises:(1) The biggest enterprise in the petrochemical system will inevitably decline. With petroleum shortage increasing, following the decline of the biggest petrochemical enterprise will be the second, the third-biggest petrochemical enterprises and so on. The number of big decline petrochemical enterprise will increase with the increase of the value of D/q. The time for the petrochemical enterprises to go decline will be from 50 to 500 days. (2) After an incident of petroleum shortage, the surviving petrochemical enterprises will go through three stages: (A) resisting stage. (B) resumption stage. (C) stable stage. The international petrochemical industry will strictly observe the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law. If the shortage of petroleum leads to the decline of odd-number petrochemical enterprises, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise system will obey the even-odd number symmetry law, i.e. the former ordinal number petrochemical enterprises become bigger. If the decline petrochemical enterprise in this system is ranked even-number, after the adaptability and stability, the petrochemical enterprise will obey the odd - even number symmetry law, i.e. the former odd numbered petrochemical enterprise become bigger, but those former even numbered get smaller. We think that a petrochemical enterprise will continually develop and grow stronger in the petroleum competition, only if it seizes the petroleum shortage ratio and the occupancy of the biggest enterprise in the petroleum resource market, understands the even-odd or odd-even number symmetry law in the petroleum economical system and positions itself correctly.
VL  - 6
IS  - 1
ER  -

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