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Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia

Received: 30 June 2016    Accepted: 28 July 2016    Published: 26 August 2016
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Abstract

This study is primarily aimed to estimate the wind speed distribution of the location, Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Wind speed is the most important parameter in the analysis of wind energy resource, design and study of wind energy conversion systems. In this study, statistical methods were used to analyze wind speed data of Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Based on these data, the shape, k and scale, c parameters of the two locations were determined. The monthly mean values of k range from 1.86 to 8.19, with yearly mean value of 4.46, while c is in the range of 1.60 to 3.65 m/s with yearly mean value of 2.59 m/s for Dire Dawa and monthly mean values of k range from 2.00 to 2.79, with yearly mean value of 2.38, while c is in the range of 1.50 to 2.19 m/s with yearly mean value of 1.76 m/s for Hawasa. Two probability density functions are fitted to the measured probability distributions on a monthly basis. From statistical analysis of distributions, the Weibull distribution is better in fitting the measured probability density distributions than the Rayleigh distribution for the whole year. The cumulative probability distribution indicates, the probability for which the wind blows with a monthly mean wind speed v is equal or lower than 5 m/s is almost one.

Published in American Journal of Modern Energy (Volume 2, Issue 3)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11
Page(s) 10-16
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Weibull Distribution, Rayleigh Distribution, Wind Speed Distribution, Weibull Parameters

References
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  • APA Style

    Girma Dejene Nage. (2016). Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia. American Journal of Modern Energy, 2(3), 10-16. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11

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    ACS Style

    Girma Dejene Nage. Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia. Am. J. Mod. Energy 2016, 2(3), 10-16. doi: 10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11

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    AMA Style

    Girma Dejene Nage. Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia. Am J Mod Energy. 2016;2(3):10-16. doi: 10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11,
      author = {Girma Dejene Nage},
      title = {Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia},
      journal = {American Journal of Modern Energy},
      volume = {2},
      number = {3},
      pages = {10-16},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajme.20160203.11},
      abstract = {This study is primarily aimed to estimate the wind speed distribution of the location, Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Wind speed is the most important parameter in the analysis of wind energy resource, design and study of wind energy conversion systems. In this study, statistical methods were used to analyze wind speed data of Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Based on these data, the shape, k and scale, c parameters of the two locations were determined. The monthly mean values of k range from 1.86 to 8.19, with yearly mean value of 4.46, while c is in the range of 1.60 to 3.65 m/s with yearly mean value of 2.59 m/s for Dire Dawa and monthly mean values of k range from 2.00 to 2.79, with yearly mean value of 2.38, while c is in the range of 1.50 to 2.19 m/s with yearly mean value of 1.76 m/s for Hawasa. Two probability density functions are fitted to the measured probability distributions on a monthly basis. From statistical analysis of distributions, the Weibull distribution is better in fitting the measured probability density distributions than the Rayleigh distribution for the whole year. The cumulative probability distribution indicates, the probability for which the wind blows with a monthly mean wind speed v is equal or lower than 5 m/s is almost one.},
     year = {2016}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Analysis of Wind Speed Distribution: Comparative Study of Weibull to Rayleigh Probability Density Function; A Case of Two Sites in Ethiopia
    AU  - Girma Dejene Nage
    Y1  - 2016/08/26
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    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11
    T2  - American Journal of Modern Energy
    JF  - American Journal of Modern Energy
    JO  - American Journal of Modern Energy
    SP  - 10
    EP  - 16
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2575-3797
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajme.20160203.11
    AB  - This study is primarily aimed to estimate the wind speed distribution of the location, Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Wind speed is the most important parameter in the analysis of wind energy resource, design and study of wind energy conversion systems. In this study, statistical methods were used to analyze wind speed data of Dire Dawa and Hawasa. Based on these data, the shape, k and scale, c parameters of the two locations were determined. The monthly mean values of k range from 1.86 to 8.19, with yearly mean value of 4.46, while c is in the range of 1.60 to 3.65 m/s with yearly mean value of 2.59 m/s for Dire Dawa and monthly mean values of k range from 2.00 to 2.79, with yearly mean value of 2.38, while c is in the range of 1.50 to 2.19 m/s with yearly mean value of 1.76 m/s for Hawasa. Two probability density functions are fitted to the measured probability distributions on a monthly basis. From statistical analysis of distributions, the Weibull distribution is better in fitting the measured probability density distributions than the Rayleigh distribution for the whole year. The cumulative probability distribution indicates, the probability for which the wind blows with a monthly mean wind speed v is equal or lower than 5 m/s is almost one.
    VL  - 2
    IS  - 3
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Department of Physics, College of Natural and Computational Sciences, Mizan-Tepi University, Tepi, Ethiopia

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