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Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach

Received: 10 January 2020     Accepted: 31 January 2020     Published: 10 March 2020
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Abstract

It is imperative that Nigeria reduces wastage in residential electricity consumption and motivate energy saving behaviors through energy efficiency measures. These strategies aim to minimize frequent power sheds, which in turn increase reliability, thus benefiting the environment and electricity consumers. This article examines the effects of such innovative approaches to electricity savings in Nigeria through: 1) prepaid electricity metering systems and 2) fast replacements of inefficient and aging appliances. Relationships between residential electricity consumption, energy efficiency, and carbon footprint were also assessed vis-à-vis the replacement of old energy appliances and analogue electricity billing systems with more efficient devices and through prepaid metering systems, respectively. These techniques intend to promote energy saving behaviors. A System Dynamics model built on Stella platform, is used to analyze the implication of energy efficiency policy implementation on residential electricity consumption based on a simulation period of 41 years (2010 - 2050). Secondary data were sourced from the Bureau of Statistics, published articles, Nigerian power sector, World Bank, and primary data using cross sectional surveys of residential electricity consumers. Results, not only revealed that availability and utilization of prepaid electric meters and efficient appliances would motivate electricity saving behaviors, but also showed that efficient technologies could be the main drivers to future energy savings. Results also showed that carbon emissions were cut down by 45% in 2050. In addition, changes in electricity tariffs did not have any consequential effect on electricity consumption, but would rather influence electricity demand. Also, large number of occupant per house might have a negative impact on the Nigerian economic growth. Finally, results suggest that subsidies should be used on new household appliances as an effective energy policy measures. The developed model can be replicated in similar sectors in other emerging economies.

Published in International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering (Volume 9, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12
Page(s) 11-21
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

System Dynamics, Prepaid Meter, Energy Efficiency, Household Appliances, Electricity Consumption

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Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Babajide Epe Shari, Yacouba Moumouni, Abiodun Suleiman Momodu. (2020). Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach. International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering, 9(1), 11-21. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12

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    ACS Style

    Babajide Epe Shari; Yacouba Moumouni; Abiodun Suleiman Momodu. Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach. Int. J. Energy Power Eng. 2020, 9(1), 11-21. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12

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    AMA Style

    Babajide Epe Shari, Yacouba Moumouni, Abiodun Suleiman Momodu. Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach. Int J Energy Power Eng. 2020;9(1):11-21. doi: 10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12,
      author = {Babajide Epe Shari and Yacouba Moumouni and Abiodun Suleiman Momodu},
      title = {Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach},
      journal = {International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering},
      volume = {9},
      number = {1},
      pages = {11-21},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijepe.20200901.12},
      abstract = {It is imperative that Nigeria reduces wastage in residential electricity consumption and motivate energy saving behaviors through energy efficiency measures. These strategies aim to minimize frequent power sheds, which in turn increase reliability, thus benefiting the environment and electricity consumers. This article examines the effects of such innovative approaches to electricity savings in Nigeria through: 1) prepaid electricity metering systems and 2) fast replacements of inefficient and aging appliances. Relationships between residential electricity consumption, energy efficiency, and carbon footprint were also assessed vis-à-vis the replacement of old energy appliances and analogue electricity billing systems with more efficient devices and through prepaid metering systems, respectively. These techniques intend to promote energy saving behaviors. A System Dynamics model built on Stella platform, is used to analyze the implication of energy efficiency policy implementation on residential electricity consumption based on a simulation period of 41 years (2010 - 2050). Secondary data were sourced from the Bureau of Statistics, published articles, Nigerian power sector, World Bank, and primary data using cross sectional surveys of residential electricity consumers. Results, not only revealed that availability and utilization of prepaid electric meters and efficient appliances would motivate electricity saving behaviors, but also showed that efficient technologies could be the main drivers to future energy savings. Results also showed that carbon emissions were cut down by 45% in 2050. In addition, changes in electricity tariffs did not have any consequential effect on electricity consumption, but would rather influence electricity demand. Also, large number of occupant per house might have a negative impact on the Nigerian economic growth. Finally, results suggest that subsidies should be used on new household appliances as an effective energy policy measures. The developed model can be replicated in similar sectors in other emerging economies.},
     year = {2020}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Low Carbon Transition of Residential Electricity Consumption in Nigeria: A System Dynamics Modeling Approach
    AU  - Babajide Epe Shari
    AU  - Yacouba Moumouni
    AU  - Abiodun Suleiman Momodu
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    DO  - 10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12
    T2  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
    JF  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
    JO  - International Journal of Energy and Power Engineering
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    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2326-960X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijepe.20200901.12
    AB  - It is imperative that Nigeria reduces wastage in residential electricity consumption and motivate energy saving behaviors through energy efficiency measures. These strategies aim to minimize frequent power sheds, which in turn increase reliability, thus benefiting the environment and electricity consumers. This article examines the effects of such innovative approaches to electricity savings in Nigeria through: 1) prepaid electricity metering systems and 2) fast replacements of inefficient and aging appliances. Relationships between residential electricity consumption, energy efficiency, and carbon footprint were also assessed vis-à-vis the replacement of old energy appliances and analogue electricity billing systems with more efficient devices and through prepaid metering systems, respectively. These techniques intend to promote energy saving behaviors. A System Dynamics model built on Stella platform, is used to analyze the implication of energy efficiency policy implementation on residential electricity consumption based on a simulation period of 41 years (2010 - 2050). Secondary data were sourced from the Bureau of Statistics, published articles, Nigerian power sector, World Bank, and primary data using cross sectional surveys of residential electricity consumers. Results, not only revealed that availability and utilization of prepaid electric meters and efficient appliances would motivate electricity saving behaviors, but also showed that efficient technologies could be the main drivers to future energy savings. Results also showed that carbon emissions were cut down by 45% in 2050. In addition, changes in electricity tariffs did not have any consequential effect on electricity consumption, but would rather influence electricity demand. Also, large number of occupant per house might have a negative impact on the Nigerian economic growth. Finally, results suggest that subsidies should be used on new household appliances as an effective energy policy measures. The developed model can be replicated in similar sectors in other emerging economies.
    VL  - 9
    IS  - 1
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land Use, Université Abdou Moumouni, Niamey, Niger

  • Electrical and Computer Engineering, Higher Colleges of Technology, Ras Al-Khaymah, United Arab Emirates

  • Centre for Energy Research and Development, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile Ife, Nigeria

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