Research Article | | Peer-Reviewed

Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh

Received: 12 August 2026     Accepted: 28 August 2026     Published: 20 September 2026
Views:       Downloads:
Abstract

The southeastern coastal landscape of Bangladesh particularly the Cox’s Bazar district Ukhiya-Teknaf region is a globally important yet extremely fragile biodiversity zone in the Indo-Burma hotspot. Habitat conditions have changed dramatically due to rapid expansion of Rohingya settlements, forest fragmentation and climate-related environmental stresses. However, there is little understanding of the quantitative relationship between satellite-derived ecological changes and taxon-specific faunal responses. The study uses multi-source geospatial data and statistical modelling to evaluate the environmental drivers of vertebrate faunal diversity between 2015 and 2026. Vegetation, thermal, moisture and ecological indicators comprising the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Transformed Difference Vegetation Index (TDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Land Surface Temperature (LST), evapotranspiration (ET) and Ecological Health Index (EHI) were derived from Sentinel-2A, Landsat-8/9 and MODIS datasets. These were integrated with secondary biodiversity data standardised from Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division, Teknaf Wildlife Sanctuary, Inani National Park, Nishorgo conservation databases, UNDP/UNHCR reports and published scientific research. The temporal study indicates a Substantial habitat transformation with a reduction of dense vegetation from 36,791 to 24,306 pixels (−33.9%) and an expansion of built-up by 121.2%, from 2015 to 2025. The maximum land surface temperature increased from 35.50°C to 48.99°C, indicating increasing thermal pressure. Correlation analysis, regression modelling, and multivariate analysis indicated potential associations between vegetation condition (NDVI/TDVI/EHI), heat stress (LST), moisture variability (ET), and faunal responses; however, statistically significant evidence for these relationships was limited. The observed patterns demonstrated comparably larger connections of mammal and bird responses with vegetation degradation and habitat fragmentation, whereas reptile and amphibian responses exhibited greater correspondence with heat and moisture variability. The integrated geospatial-statistical approach identifies biodiversity sensitive zones and provides scientific basis for habitat restoration and climate resilient conservation planning in rapidly changing tropical environments.

Published in American Journal of Remote Sensing (Volume 14, Issue 2)
DOI 10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15
Page(s) 78-98
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Geospatial Indicators, Vertebrate Diversity, Remote Sensing, Climate Stress, Ecological Health Index, Rohingya Settlement Landscape

References
[1] Myers, N., Mittermeier, R. A., Mittermeier, C. G., da Fonseca, G. A. B., & Kent, J. (2000). Biodiversity hotspots for conservation priorities. Nature, 403, 853-858.
[2] Sodhi, N. S., Koh, L. P., Brook, B. W., & Ng, P. K. L. (2010). Conservation biology for all. Oxford University Press.
[3] Hamid, N., & Rahman, M. R. (2026a). Land use and land cover change detection and impacts on biodiversity due to Rohingya settlement: A GIS and ENVI-based imagery analysis in the south-eastern region of Bangladesh. International Journal of Modern Science and Research Technology, 4(7), 435-453.
[4] Hamid, N., & Rahman, M. R. (2026b). Monitoring biodiversity and climate change impacts in Rohingya settlement areas of south-eastern coastal Bangladesh using multi-indexing remote sensing approach. International Journal of Modern Science and Research Technology, 4(7), 502-528.
[5] Pettorelli, N., Laurance, W. F., O’Brien, T. G., Wegmann, M., Nagendra, H., & Turner, W. (2014). Satellite remote sensing for applied ecologists: Opportunities and challenges. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51(4), 839-848.
[6] Pettorelli, N., Vik, J. O., Mysterud, A., Gaillard, J. M., Tucker, C. J., & Stenseth, N. C. (2005). Using the satellite-derived NDVI to assess ecological responses to environmental change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 20(9), 503-510.
[7] Xue, J., & Su, B. (2017). Significant remote sensing vegetation indices: A review of developments and applications. Journal of Sensors, 2017, Article 1353691.
[8] Fahrig, L. (2003). Effects of habitat fragmentation on biodiversity. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics, 34, 487-515.
[9] Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W., & Courchamp, F. (2012). Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters, 15(4), 365-377.
[10] United States Geological Survey. EarthExplorer. Available from:
[11] European Space Agency. Copernicus Data Space Ecosystem. Available from:
[12] NASA LP DAAC. (2021). MODIS/Terra Land Surface Temperature/Emissivity 8-Day L3 Global 1 km SIN Grid V061 (MOD11A2). NASA EOSDIS Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center.
[13] Newbold, T., Hudson, L. N., Hill, S. L. L., Contu, S., Lysenko, I., Senior, R. A., Börger, L., Bennett, D. J., Choimes, A., Collen, B., Day, J., De Palma, A., Díaz, S., Echeverria-Londoño, S., Edgar, M. J., Feldman, A., Garon, M., Harrison, M. L. K., Alhusseini, T., … Purvis, A. (2015). Global effects of land use on local terrestrial biodiversity. Nature, 520, 45-50.
[14] Haddad, N. M., Brudvig, L. A., Clobert, J., Davies, K. F., Gonzalez, A., Holt, R. D., Lovejoy, T. E., Sexton, J. O., Austin, M. P., Collins, C. D., Cook, W. M., Damschen, E. I., Ewers, R. M., Foster, B. L., Jenkins, C. N., King, A. J., Laurance, W. F., Levey, D. J., Margules, C. R., … Townshend, J. R. (2015). Habitat fragmentation and its lasting impact on Earth’s ecosystems. Science, 344(6187), 150-155.
[15] United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), & United Nations Entity for Gender Equality and the Empowerment of Women (UN Women). (2018). Report on environmental impact of Rohingya influx. United Nations Development Programme Bangladesh.
[16] Crooks, K. R., Burdett, C. L., Theobald, D. M., Rondinini, C., & Boitani, L. (2017). Quantification of habitat fragmentation reveals extinction risk in terrestrial mammals. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(29), 7635-7640.
[17] Bregman, T. P., Lees, A. C., MacGregor, H. E. A., Darski, B., de Moura, N. G., Aleixo, A., Barlow, J., & Tobias, J. A. (2016). Using avian functional traits to assess the impact of land-cover change on tropical forest biodiversity. Diversity and Distributions, 22(10), 1075-1086.
[18] Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division, Bangladesh Forest Department. (2026). Official website of Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division. Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh.
[19] Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division: Forest management and biodiversity information. Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh.
[20] Protected areas and wildlife conservation information: Inani National Park. Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change, Government of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh.
[21] Nishorgo Network. Nishorgo: Protected Areas, Biodiversity Conservation and Co-management Information System. Available from:
[22] Nishorgo Network. Teknaf Wildlife Sanctuary: Protected Area Profile and Biodiversity Information. Available from:
[23] United Nations Development Programme. (2024). Bangladesh environmental and biodiversity conservation resources.
[24] United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees. (2025). Operational data portal: Bangladesh refugee response and environmental information resources.
[25] Betts, M. G., Wolf, C., Ripple, W. J., Phalan, B., Millers, K. A., Duarte, A., Butchart, S. H. M., & Levi, T. (2017). Global forest loss disproportionately erodes biodiversity in intact landscapes. Nature, 547, 441-444.
[26] Stuart, S. N., Chanson, J. S., Cox, N. A., Young, B. E., Rodrigues, A. S. L., Fischman, D. L., & Waller, R. W. (2004). Status and trends of amphibian declines and extinctions worldwide. Science, 306(5702), 1783-1786.
[27] Scheele, B. C., Pasmans, F., Skerratt, L. F., Berger, L., Martel, A., Beukema, W., Acevedo, A. A., Burrowes, P. A., Carvalho, T., Catenazzi, A., De la Riva, I., Fisher, M. C., Flechas, S. V., Foster, C. N., Frías-Álvarez, P., Garner, T. W. J., Gratwicke, B., Guayasamin, J. M., Hirschfeld, M.,.. Canessa, S. (2019). Amphibian fungal panzootic causes catastrophic and ongoing loss of biodiversity. Science, 363(6434), 1459-1463.
[28] Nagendra, H., Lucas, R., Pradinho Honrado, J., Jongman, R. H. G., Tarantino, C., Adamo, M., & Mairota, P. (2013). Remote sensing for conservation monitoring: Assessing protected areas, habitat extent, habitat condition, species diversity and threats. Ecological Indicators, 33, 45-59.
[29] International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Bangladesh. (2015). Red List of Bangladesh: Volume 2—Mammals. IUCN Bangladesh Country Office, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
[30] Pettorelli N, Laurance WF, O’Brien TG, Wegmann M, Nagendra H, Turner W. Satellite remote sensing for applied ecologists: Opportunities and challenges. Journal of Applied Ecology. 2014; 51(4): 839–848.
[31] Boakes EH, McGowan PJK, Fuller RA, Chang-qing D, Clark NE, O’Connor K, Mace GM. Distorted views of biodiversity: Spatial and temporal bias in species occurrence data. PLoS Biology. 2010; 8(6): e1000385.
[32] MacKenzie DI, Nichols JD, Lachman GB, Droege S, Royle JA, Langtimm CA. Estimating site occupancy rates when detection probabilities are less than one. Ecology. 2002; 83(8): 2248–2255.
[33] Babyak MA. What you see may not be what you get: A brief, nontechnical introduction to overfitting in regression-type models. Psychosomatic Medicine. 2004; 66(3): 411–421.
[34] Pyper BJ, Peterman RM. Comparison of methods to account for autocorrelation in correlation analyses of fish data. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences. 1998; 55(9): 2127–2140.
[35] Yu H, Hutson AD. A robust Spearman correlation coefficient permutation test. Communications in Statistics—Theory and Methods. 2024; 53(6): 2141–2153.
[36] Moritz S, Bartz-Beielstein T. imputeTS: Time series missing value imputation in R. The R Journal. 2017; 9(1): 207–218.
[37] Wasserstein RL, Lazar NA. The ASA statement on p-values: Context, process, and purpose. The American Statistician. 2016; 70(2): 129–133.
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    Hamid, N., Rahman, M. R. (2026). Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh. American Journal of Remote Sensing, 14(2), 78-98. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15

    Copy | Download

    ACS Style

    Hamid, N.; Rahman, M. R. Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh. Am. J. Remote Sens. 2026, 14(2), 78-98. doi: 10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15

    Copy | Download

    AMA Style

    Hamid N, Rahman MR. Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh. Am J Remote Sens. 2026;14(2):78-98. doi: 10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15

    Copy | Download

  • @article{10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15,
      author = {Nurul Hamid and Md. Redwanur Rahman},
      title = {Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh},
      journal = {American Journal of Remote Sensing},
      volume = {14},
      number = {2},
      pages = {78-98},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ajrs.20261402.15},
      abstract = {The southeastern coastal landscape of Bangladesh particularly the Cox’s Bazar district Ukhiya-Teknaf region is a globally important yet extremely fragile biodiversity zone in the Indo-Burma hotspot. Habitat conditions have changed dramatically due to rapid expansion of Rohingya settlements, forest fragmentation and climate-related environmental stresses. However, there is little understanding of the quantitative relationship between satellite-derived ecological changes and taxon-specific faunal responses. The study uses multi-source geospatial data and statistical modelling to evaluate the environmental drivers of vertebrate faunal diversity between 2015 and 2026. Vegetation, thermal, moisture and ecological indicators comprising the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Transformed Difference Vegetation Index (TDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Land Surface Temperature (LST), evapotranspiration (ET) and Ecological Health Index (EHI) were derived from Sentinel-2A, Landsat-8/9 and MODIS datasets. These were integrated with secondary biodiversity data standardised from Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division, Teknaf Wildlife Sanctuary, Inani National Park, Nishorgo conservation databases, UNDP/UNHCR reports and published scientific research. The temporal study indicates a Substantial habitat transformation with a reduction of dense vegetation from 36,791 to 24,306 pixels (−33.9%) and an expansion of built-up by 121.2%, from 2015 to 2025. The maximum land surface temperature increased from 35.50°C to 48.99°C, indicating increasing thermal pressure. Correlation analysis, regression modelling, and multivariate analysis indicated potential associations between vegetation condition (NDVI/TDVI/EHI), heat stress (LST), moisture variability (ET), and faunal responses; however, statistically significant evidence for these relationships was limited. The observed patterns demonstrated comparably larger connections of mammal and bird responses with vegetation degradation and habitat fragmentation, whereas reptile and amphibian responses exhibited greater correspondence with heat and moisture variability. The integrated geospatial-statistical approach identifies biodiversity sensitive zones and provides scientific basis for habitat restoration and climate resilient conservation planning in rapidly changing tropical environments.},
     year = {2026}
    }
    

    Copy | Download

  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Integrating Geospatial Indicators and Statistical Modelling to Assess Environmental Drivers of Faunal Diversity Responses in the Rohingya Influx of Bangladesh
    AU  - Nurul Hamid
    AU  - Md. Redwanur Rahman
    Y1  - 2026/09/20
    PY  - 2026
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15
    DO  - 10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15
    T2  - American Journal of Remote Sensing
    JF  - American Journal of Remote Sensing
    JO  - American Journal of Remote Sensing
    SP  - 78
    EP  - 98
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-580X
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ajrs.20261402.15
    AB  - The southeastern coastal landscape of Bangladesh particularly the Cox’s Bazar district Ukhiya-Teknaf region is a globally important yet extremely fragile biodiversity zone in the Indo-Burma hotspot. Habitat conditions have changed dramatically due to rapid expansion of Rohingya settlements, forest fragmentation and climate-related environmental stresses. However, there is little understanding of the quantitative relationship between satellite-derived ecological changes and taxon-specific faunal responses. The study uses multi-source geospatial data and statistical modelling to evaluate the environmental drivers of vertebrate faunal diversity between 2015 and 2026. Vegetation, thermal, moisture and ecological indicators comprising the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Transformed Difference Vegetation Index (TDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Land Surface Temperature (LST), evapotranspiration (ET) and Ecological Health Index (EHI) were derived from Sentinel-2A, Landsat-8/9 and MODIS datasets. These were integrated with secondary biodiversity data standardised from Cox’s Bazar South Forest Division, Teknaf Wildlife Sanctuary, Inani National Park, Nishorgo conservation databases, UNDP/UNHCR reports and published scientific research. The temporal study indicates a Substantial habitat transformation with a reduction of dense vegetation from 36,791 to 24,306 pixels (−33.9%) and an expansion of built-up by 121.2%, from 2015 to 2025. The maximum land surface temperature increased from 35.50°C to 48.99°C, indicating increasing thermal pressure. Correlation analysis, regression modelling, and multivariate analysis indicated potential associations between vegetation condition (NDVI/TDVI/EHI), heat stress (LST), moisture variability (ET), and faunal responses; however, statistically significant evidence for these relationships was limited. The observed patterns demonstrated comparably larger connections of mammal and bird responses with vegetation degradation and habitat fragmentation, whereas reptile and amphibian responses exhibited greater correspondence with heat and moisture variability. The integrated geospatial-statistical approach identifies biodiversity sensitive zones and provides scientific basis for habitat restoration and climate resilient conservation planning in rapidly changing tropical environments.
    VL  - 14
    IS  - 2
    ER  - 

    Copy | Download

Author Information
  • Sections