Commercializing smallholder farmers in the fruit production is an indispensable path to boost the household income and economic growth in Ethiopia. Apple is the main source of income in Sinan district. However, the district faces various production and marketing problems of apple. Therefore, the study was designed to analysis market chain of apple specifically to identify the determinants of apple supply to the market and to assess of market structure, conduct and performance of apple in Sinan district, East Gojjam zone, Ethiopia. The study used data from primary and secondary sources. A random sampling procedure was used to draw a sample of 121 apple producers. Multiple linear regression model and marketing margin were used to analysis the collected data. The market concentration ratio (37.8%) of the four largest firms was shown that the market structure were weak oligopolistic nature in the study area. The market margin shows that retailers were taken the highest market margin from the available actors. The output of OLS model shows that man equivalent, land size, market distance, access to market information, experience and frequency of extension contact were the key variables influencing the amount of apple provided to the market. The authors suggest that the government and concerned bodies should develop market information delivery system, aware farmers to use land efficiently and wisely, build better roads in apple growing areas and allow access for transport vehicles to cut down transportation expense and product damage during the route to market.
| Published in | Innovation Economics (Volume 1, Issue 1) |
| DOI | 10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17 |
| Page(s) | 64-80 |
| Creative Commons |
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited. |
| Copyright |
Copyright © The Author(s), 2026. Published by Science Publishing Group |
Apple, Marketing Chain, Multiple Linear Regression, Sinan District
Sample kebele | Number of apple producer HHH | Sample household | Proportion in% |
|---|---|---|---|
Gedamawit | 516 | 39 | 32 |
WashaMikael | 220 | 17 | 14 |
Telezam | 396 | 30 | 25 |
Wolekie | 472 | 35 | 29 |
Total | 1604 | 121 | 100 |
Variable | Notation | Type of variable | Measurement | Expected effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Quantity supplied to the market | QS | Continuous | Quintal | |
Independent variable | ||||
Land alloted for apple | LAND | Continuous | Hectare | +ve |
Distance to the nearest market | DSTMKT | Continuous | Walking hours | -ve |
Access to market information | ACCMKT | Dummy | 1if yes, 0 no | +ve |
Sex of the household head | SEX | Dummy | 1 if male, 0 otherwise | +ve |
Family size | FAMSZ | Continuous | Man equivalent | +ve |
Age of the household head | AGHH | Continuous | Year | -ve/+ve |
Off/non-farm income | OFFIN | Dummy | 1if yes, 0 no | +ve |
Livestock holding | TLU | Continuous | tropical livestock unit | +ve |
Frequency of extension contact | FEXC | Continuous | Number | +ve |
Distance from training center | DSFTC | Continuous | Walking minutes | -ve |
Level of education of the household head | EDU | Categorical | 0 if not read and write, 1 if read and write, 2 if attend primary school, 3 if attend secondary school, 4 attends preparatory and above | +ve |
Variable | Frequency | Percent | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sex of household head | Male | 105 | 87.5 | ||
Female | 15 | 12.5 | |||
Total | 120 | 100 | |||
Marital status | Single | 0 | 0 | ||
Married | 12 | 93.3 | |||
Divorced | 6 | 5 | |||
Windowed | 2 | 1.7 | |||
Total | 120 | 100 | |||
Educational level | Do not write and read | 51 | 42.5 | ||
Write and read | 46 | 38.3 | |||
Primary school | 15 | 12.5 | |||
Secondary school | 8 | 6.7 | |||
Total | 120 | 100 | |||
Non/off farm income | Yes | 20 | 16.3 | ||
No | 100 | 83.3 | |||
Total | 120 | 100 | |||
Variable | N | Minimum | Maximum | Mean | Std. Deviation |
Age | 120 | 26 | 75 | 48.91 | 9.933 |
family size | 120 | 1.3 | 8 | 3.92 | 1.605 |
Experience | 120 | 4 | 12 | 7.3 | 1.858 |
Variable | Collector | Wholesaler | Retailer | Total | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | N | % | N | % | N | % | ||
Sex | Female | - | 4 | 57.1 | 13 | 72.2 | 17 | 60.7 | |
Male | 3 | 100 | 3 | 42.9 | 5 | 27.8 | 11 | 39.3 | |
Educational status | Can’t read and write | - | - | - | 3 | 16.7 | 3 | 10.7 | |
Read and write | - | 1 | 14.3 | 3 | 16.7 | 4 | 14.3 | ||
Primary school | 1 | 33.3 | 2 | 28.6 | 1 | 5.6 | 4 | 14.3 | |
Secondary school | - | - | - | - | 7 | 38.9 | 7 | 25 | |
Preparatory and above | 2 | 66.7 | 4 | 57.1 | 4 | 22.2 | 10 | 35.7 | |
Marital status | Single | 3 | 100 | 4 | 57.1 | 6 | 33.3 | 13 | 46.5 |
Married | - | - | 3 | 42.9 | 7 | 38.9 | 10 | 35.7 | |
Divorced | - | - | 2 | 11.1 | 2 | 7.1 | |||
Window | - | - | 3 | 16.7 | 3 | 10.7 | |||
Religion | Christian | 3 | 100 | 7 | 100 | 16 | 88.9 | 26 | 92.9 |
Muslim | - | - | 2 | 11.1 | 2 | 7.1 | |||
Mean | Std | Mean | Std | Mean | Std | Mean | Std | ||
Age | 30.3 | 4.9 | 37.1 | 9.1 | 34.6 | 8.8 | 34.8 | 8.5 | |
Family size | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.7 | |
Apple trade experience | 2.7 | 0.57 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 1.1 | |
No of trader (X) | % of trader (X/28) | Quantity purchased within a year in quantal (Y) | Total purchase in quantal (Z=X*Y) | % purchase share (Si=Z/5602) | %cumulative ∑Si share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 3.6 | 600.00 | 600.00 | 10.7 | 10.7 |
1 | 3.6 | 540.00 | 540.00 | 9.6 | 20.3 |
1 | 3.6 | 500.00 | 500.00 | 8.9 | 29.2 |
1 | 3.6 | 480.00 | 480.00 | 8.6 | 37.8 |
1 | 3.6 | 450.00 | 450.00 | 8 | 45.8 |
1 | 3.6 | 420.00 | 420.00 | 7.5 | 53.3 |
1 | 3.6 | 400.00 | 400.00 | 7.1 | 60.4 |
1 | 3.6 | 180.00 | 180.00 | 3.2 | 63.6 |
1 | 3.6 | 160.00 | 160.00 | 2.7 | 66.3 |
1 | 3.6 | 150.00 | 150.00 | 2.7 | 69 |
1 | 3.6 | 140.00 | 140.00 | 2.5 | 71.5 |
1 | 3.6 | 130.00 | 130.00 | 2.3 | 73.8 |
1 | 3.6 | 122.00 | 122.00 | 2.2 | 76 |
1 | 3.6 | 114.00 | 114.00 | 2 | 78 |
1 | 3.6 | 112.00 | 112.00 | 2 | 80 |
1 | 3.6 | 110.00 | 110.00 | 2 | 82 |
1 | 3.6 | 106.00 | 106.00 | 1.9 | 83.9 |
1 | 3.6 | 104.00 | 104.00 | 1.9 | 85.8 |
1 | 3.6 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 1.8 | 87.6 |
1 | 3.6 | 97.00 | 97.00 | 1.7 | 89.3 |
1 | 3.6 | 86.00 | 86.00 | 1.5 | 90.8 |
1 | 3.6 | 84.00 | 84.00 | 1.5 | 92.3 |
1 | 3.6 | 80.00 | 80.00 | 1.4 | 93.7 |
1 | 3.6 | 78.00 | 78.00 | 1.4 | 95.1 |
1 | 3.6 | 75.00 | 75.00 | 1.3 | 96.4 |
1 | 3.6 | 70.00 | 70.00 | 1.2 | 97.6 |
1 | 3.6 | 64.00 | 64.00 | 1.1 | 98.7 |
1 | 3.6 | 50.00 | 50.00 | 0.9 | 99.6 |
28 | 100.0 | 5602 | 5602 | 100 | 100 |
Entry barrier | Collector | Wholesaler | Retailer | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | N | % | N | % | N | % | |
Lack of capital | 2 | 66.7 | 4 | 57.2 | 9 | 50 | 15 | 53.6 |
computation of un licensed trader | - | - | 1 | 14.3 | 3 | 16.6 | 4 | 14.3 |
lack of continuous supply | 1 | 33.3 | 5 | 71.4 | 3 | 16.6 | 9 | 32.1 |
Cost item in birr | Collector | Wholesaler | Retailer |
|---|---|---|---|
Packaging material cost | 13 | 55 | 23 |
Labor cost for packaging | - | 8 | - |
Loading and unloading cost | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Transport cost | 17 | 28 | 16 |
Storage cost | 49 | ||
Telephone cost | 1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
License and tax | - | 2.28 | 0.8 |
Wastage loss | 15 | 10.72 | 12 |
Total cost | 56 | 164.5 | 60.4 |
Marketing actors | Birr/qt | I | II | III | IV | V |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer | Selling price | 2681 | 1867 | 1867 | 2059 | 2247 |
GMMP (%) | 100 | 59.4 | 59.4 | 65.5 | 71.5 | |
Collector | Purchasing price | - | 1867 | 1867 | - | - |
Marketing costs | - | 56 | 78 | |||
Selling price | - | 2297 | 2155 | |||
Gross profit | - | 374 | 210 | |||
GMMC | 13.7 | 9.2 | ||||
Wholesaler | Purchasing price | - | - | 2155 | 2059 | |
Marketing cost | 164.5 | 164.5 | ||||
Selling price | 2686 | 2686 | ||||
Gross profit | 366.5 | 462.5 | ||||
GMMW | 16.9 | 20 | ||||
Retailer | Purchasing price | 2297 | 2525 | 2525 | 2247 | |
Marketing cost | 82 | 60.4 | 60.4 | 96 | ||
Selling price | 3143 | 3143 | 3143 | 3143 | ||
Gross profit | 764 | 5576 | 557.6 | 800 | ||
GMMR | 27 | 20 | 20 | 28.5 | ||
TGMM | 100 | 40.6 | 40.6 | 34.5 | 39.5 |
Variables | Coef. | Robust Std. Err. | T-value | P>t |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Constant | -4.283 | 2.377 | -1.80 | 0.074* |
SEXHH | .286 | 1.018 | 0.28 | 0.779 |
AGHH | -.017 | .029 | -0.57 | 0.572 |
ACCMKT | 1.53 | .733 | 2.08 | 0.040** |
EDU | ||||
read and write | .21 | .834 | 0.25 | 0.801 |
primary school | -1.267 | 1.25 | -1.01 | 0.313 |
secondary school | .857 | 1.379 | 0.62 | 0.536 |
FAMSZ | .695 | .299 | 2.32 | 0.022** |
DSTMKT | -.579 | .236 | -2.45 | 0.016** |
TLU | -.068 | .215 | -0.32 | 0.751 |
OFFIN | .441 | .886 | 0.50 | 0.620 |
LAND | 60.671 | 11.729 | 5.17 | 0.000*** |
FREXC | .763 | .293 | 2.61 | 0.010** |
EXPR | .538 | .276 | 1.95 | 0.053* |
DSFTC | .001 | .015 | 0.09 | 0.929 |
Number of observations | 120 | |||
F (14, 105) | 22.94 | |||
Prob > F | 0.0000 | |||
R-squared | 0.723 |
FAO | Food and Agriculture Organization |
FTC | Farmer Training Center |
NBE | National Bank of Ethiopia |
MLRM | Multiple Linear Regression Model |
OLS | Ordinary Least Square |
SCP | Structure Conduct Performance |
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APA Style
Ayalew, M. A., Worku, S. S. (2026). Determinants of Market Supply Along the Apple Market Chain: In Case of Sinan District, East Gojjam Zone, Ethiopia. Innovation Economics, 1(1), 64-80. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17
ACS Style
Ayalew, M. A.; Worku, S. S. Determinants of Market Supply Along the Apple Market Chain: In Case of Sinan District, East Gojjam Zone, Ethiopia. Innov. Econ. 2026, 1(1), 64-80. doi: 10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17
@article{10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17,
author = {Mamaru Abebe Ayalew and Seblewongiel Solomon Worku},
title = {Determinants of Market Supply Along the Apple Market Chain: In Case of Sinan District, East Gojjam Zone, Ethiopia},
journal = {Innovation Economics},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {64-80},
doi = {10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17},
url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17},
eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.iecon.20260101.17},
abstract = {Commercializing smallholder farmers in the fruit production is an indispensable path to boost the household income and economic growth in Ethiopia. Apple is the main source of income in Sinan district. However, the district faces various production and marketing problems of apple. Therefore, the study was designed to analysis market chain of apple specifically to identify the determinants of apple supply to the market and to assess of market structure, conduct and performance of apple in Sinan district, East Gojjam zone, Ethiopia. The study used data from primary and secondary sources. A random sampling procedure was used to draw a sample of 121 apple producers. Multiple linear regression model and marketing margin were used to analysis the collected data. The market concentration ratio (37.8%) of the four largest firms was shown that the market structure were weak oligopolistic nature in the study area. The market margin shows that retailers were taken the highest market margin from the available actors. The output of OLS model shows that man equivalent, land size, market distance, access to market information, experience and frequency of extension contact were the key variables influencing the amount of apple provided to the market. The authors suggest that the government and concerned bodies should develop market information delivery system, aware farmers to use land efficiently and wisely, build better roads in apple growing areas and allow access for transport vehicles to cut down transportation expense and product damage during the route to market.},
year = {2026}
}
TY - JOUR T1 - Determinants of Market Supply Along the Apple Market Chain: In Case of Sinan District, East Gojjam Zone, Ethiopia AU - Mamaru Abebe Ayalew AU - Seblewongiel Solomon Worku Y1 - 2026/03/14 PY - 2026 N1 - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17 DO - 10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17 T2 - Innovation Economics JF - Innovation Economics JO - Innovation Economics SP - 64 EP - 80 PB - Science Publishing Group UR - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.iecon.20260101.17 AB - Commercializing smallholder farmers in the fruit production is an indispensable path to boost the household income and economic growth in Ethiopia. Apple is the main source of income in Sinan district. However, the district faces various production and marketing problems of apple. Therefore, the study was designed to analysis market chain of apple specifically to identify the determinants of apple supply to the market and to assess of market structure, conduct and performance of apple in Sinan district, East Gojjam zone, Ethiopia. The study used data from primary and secondary sources. A random sampling procedure was used to draw a sample of 121 apple producers. Multiple linear regression model and marketing margin were used to analysis the collected data. The market concentration ratio (37.8%) of the four largest firms was shown that the market structure were weak oligopolistic nature in the study area. The market margin shows that retailers were taken the highest market margin from the available actors. The output of OLS model shows that man equivalent, land size, market distance, access to market information, experience and frequency of extension contact were the key variables influencing the amount of apple provided to the market. The authors suggest that the government and concerned bodies should develop market information delivery system, aware farmers to use land efficiently and wisely, build better roads in apple growing areas and allow access for transport vehicles to cut down transportation expense and product damage during the route to market. VL - 1 IS - 1 ER -